% IMPORTANT: The following is UTF-8 encoded. This means that in the presence
% of non-ASCII characters, it will not work with BibTeX 0.99 or older.
% Instead, you should use an up-to-date BibTeX implementation like “bibtex8” or
% “biber”.
@INPROCEEDINGS{Hassanian:1007354,
author = {Hassanian, Reza and Helgadottir, Asdis and Aach, Marcel and
Lintermann, Andreas and Riedel, Morris},
title = {{A} proposed hybrid two-stage {DL}-{HPC} method for wind
speed forecasting: using the first average forecast output
for long-term forecasting},
reportid = {FZJ-2023-02023},
pages = {-},
year = {2023},
abstract = {Energy consumption is growing extensively, which is caused
by new demanding technological applications and continuously
changing lifestyles, also with respect to climate change.
Climate change is a significant issue and scientific reports
notice the temperature environment continuously increasing,
particularly in the summer. To alleviate the heat, people in
many countries tend to use air conditioning systems in
residential and business buildings. This puts additional
pressure on the electricity network and the energy producers
must be able to predict such events. It is agreed worldwide
that harvesting renewable energy is the best option for
fighting climate change. For example, recently, the number
of electric cars has increased and it becomes more and more
attractive to utilize green energy, e.g., produced by wind
turbines, for them. The advantages of wind energy have
intensively been studied, and a wide range of methods to
create very short-term, short-term, medium-term, and
long-term predictions using wind energy models or wind speed
profiles are in use [1,2]. However, some of the forecasting
methods are highly complex and costly in computing [3,4].
This study uses a gated recurrent unit (GRU) model, a deep
learning model, to efficiently perform medium-term
predictions of wind energy production. There is effort to
apply these medium-term predictions to create long-term
forecasting models. The literature has reported that GRUs
are faster than long short-term memory (LSTM) models, which
have been used in recent studies, can deal with relatively
fewer data, and are cheaper in computing. The study applies
empirical wind speed data from 5 years, which the Iceland
Metrological office has measured at 10 m height at the
Búfrell location. The log law is used to scale the speed up
to 55 m, which is the height of an Enercon E44 wind turbine
hub. The predictions are performed on the DAM module of the
DEEP cluster at the Jülich Supercomputing Centre. The
parallel machine allows to speed up the model scaling. The
results show that the proposed model can predict medium and
long-term wind speeds as a function of the ratio of training
data. This method conducts the forecasting cheaper in
computing than LSTM but with equal performance.},
month = {Apr},
date = {2023-04-25},
organization = {Proceedings of the IACM Computational
Fluids Conference (CFC2023), Cannes
(France), 25 Apr 2023 - 28 Apr 2023},
cin = {JSC},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)JSC-20090406},
pnm = {5111 - Domain-Specific Simulation $\&$ Data Life Cycle Labs
(SDLs) and Research Groups (POF4-511) / RAISE - Research on
AI- and Simulation-Based Engineering at Exascale (951733)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-5111 / G:(EU-Grant)951733},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)8},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/1007354},
}