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@ARTICLE{Li:1021186,
author = {Li, Yue and Herbst, Michael and Chen, Zhijun and Chen,
Xinguo and Xu, Xu and Xiong, Yunwu and Huang, Quanzhong and
Huang, Guanhua},
title = {{L}ong term response and adaptation of farmland water,
carbon and nitrogen balances to climate change in arid to
semi-arid regions},
journal = {Agriculture, ecosystems $\&$ environment},
volume = {364},
issn = {0167-8809},
address = {Amsterdam [u.a.]},
publisher = {Elsevier},
reportid = {FZJ-2024-00630},
pages = {108882 -},
year = {2024},
note = {Leider kein Postprint verfügbar},
abstract = {Climate change poses a challenge for resource utilization
and environmental pollution issues caused by
agriculturalproduction, especially in arid to semi-arid
regions. Farmland water, carbon and nitrogen balances are
closely related to these resource and environmental issues.
Thus, the Agro-Hydrological $\&$ chemical and Cropsystems
simulator was used to assess the response of water, carbon
and nitrogen balances to climate change in aspring wheat
farmland of arid to semi-arid Northwest China and to propose
adaptation strategies. Five Global Climate Models from the
Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 and two Shared
Socioeconomic Pathways(SSP1–2.6 and SSP5–8.5) were used
to establish scenarios with the Agro-Hydrological $\&$
chemical and Crop systems simulator to simulate farmland
water, carbon and nitrogen balances for the 2025–2100
period. Various irrigation amounts and nitrogen
fertilization rates were tested as compensation strategies.
Results indicated that climate change could negatively
affect farmland water, carbon and nitrogen balances,
especially under theSSP5–8.5 scenario. Precipitation
showed an increasing trend, thus percolation increased and
soil water consumption decreased from 2025 to 2100. However,
for the carbon budget, although the soil carbon dioxide
emissions tend to decrease, the net primary production was
also significantly reduced, which resulted in declining the
net ecosystem carbon budget under future climatic
conditions. In addition, higher temperature and increased
precipitation enhanced soil inorganic nitrogen leaching and
nitrous oxide emissions but reduced ammonia volatilization
from 2025 to 2100. Overall, the soil total nitrogen loss was
increased over time, whereascrop nitrogen uptake was
significantly reduced. In relation to the SSP1–2.6
scenario, the SSP5–8.5 scenario accelerated the increase
rates of soil water percolation and total nitrogen loss over
time, as well as the decrease rates of crop nitrogen uptake
and net primary production over time. The negative effects
caused by climate change can be mitigated by reducing
irrigation and increasing nitrogen fertilization. For the
SSP1–2.6 $scenario,30\%$ irrigation reduction and $30\%$
nitrogen fertilization increase can effectively decrease
soil water percolation and the related nitrogen losses while
crop nitrogen uptake, net primary production and net
ecosystem carbon budget increase in relation to the current
management (irrigation = 240 mm and nitrogen fertilization
=200 kg ha–1). For SSP5–8.5 the strategy with $45\%$
irrigation reduction and $45\%$ nitrogen fertilization
increasecan also decrease nitrogen losses and increase crop
nitrogen uptake, net primary production and net
ecosystemcarbon budget.},
cin = {IBG-3},
ddc = {640},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IBG-3-20101118},
pnm = {2173 - Agro-biogeosystems: controls, feedbacks and impact
(POF4-217)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-2173},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
UT = {WOS:001165313400001},
doi = {10.1016/j.agee.2023.108882},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/1021186},
}