001     1021986
005     20240226075417.0
024 7 _ |2 doi
|a 10.1101/2023.02.06.23285527
024 7 _ |2 datacite_doi
|a 10.34734/FZJ-2024-01125
037 _ _ |a FZJ-2024-01125
100 1 _ |0 P:(DE-HGF)0
|a Amiri, Moshgan
|b 0
245 _ _ |a Multimodal prediction of 3- and 12-month outcomes in ICU-patients with acute disorders of consciousness
260 _ _ |c 2023
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|2 PUB:(DE-HGF)
|a Preprint
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|s 1706689388_5584
336 7 _ |2 ORCID
|a WORKING_PAPER
336 7 _ |0 28
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|a Electronic Article
336 7 _ |2 DRIVER
|a preprint
336 7 _ |2 BibTeX
|a ARTICLE
336 7 _ |2 DataCite
|a Output Types/Working Paper
520 _ _ |a Background In intensive care unit (ICU) patients with coma and other disorders of consciousness (DoC), outcome prediction is key to decision-making regarding prognostication, neurorehabilitation, and management of family expectations. Current prediction algorithms are largely based on chronic DoC, while multimodal data from acute DoC are scarce. Therefore, CONNECT-ME (Consciousness in neurocritical care cohort study using EEG and fMRI, NCT02644265) investigates ICU-patients with acute DoC due to traumatic and non-traumatic brain injuries, utilizing EEG (resting-state and passive paradigms), fMRI (resting-state) and systematic clinical examinations.Methods We previously presented results for a subset of patients (n=87) concerning prediction of consciousness levels at ICU discharge. Now, we report 3- and 12-month outcomes in an extended cohort (n=123). Favourable outcome was defined as modified Rankin Scale ≤3, Cerebral Performance Category ≤2, and Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended ≥4. EEG-features included visual-grading, automated spectral categorization, and Support Vector Machine (SVM) consciousness classifier. fMRI-features included functional connectivity measures from six resting-state networks. Random-Forest and SVM machine learning were applied to EEG- and fMRI-features to predict outcomes. Here, Random-Forest results are presented as area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating curves or accuracy. Cox proportional regression with in-hospital death as competing risk was used to assess independent clinical predictors of time to favourable outcome.Results Between April-2016 and July-2021, we enrolled 123 patients (mean age 51 years, 42% women). Of 82 (66%) ICU-survivors, 3- and 12-month outcomes were available for 79 (96%) and 77 (94%), respectively. EEG-features predicted both 3-month (AUC 0.79[0.77-0.82] and 12-month (0.74[0.71-0.77]) outcomes. fMRI-features appeared to predict 3-month outcome (accuracy 0.69-0.78) both alone and when combined with some EEG-features (accuracies 0.73-0.84), but not 12-month outcome (larger sample sizes needed). Independent clinical predictors of time to favourable outcome were younger age (Hazards-Ratio 1.04[95% CI 1.02-1.06]), TBI (1.94[1.04-3.61]), command-following abilities at admission (2.70[1.40-5.23]), initial brain-imaging without severe pathology (2.42[1.12-5.22]), improving consciousness in the ICU (5.76[2.41-15.51]), and favourable visual-graded EEG (2.47[1.46-4.19]).Conclusion For the first time, our results indicate that EEG- and fMRI-features and readily available clinical data reliably predict short-term outcome of patients with acute DoC, and EEG also predicts 12-month outcome after ICU discharge.
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700 1 _ |0 P:(DE-Juel1)185083
|a Raimondo, Federico
|b 1
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|a Fisher, Patrick M.
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|a Sidaros, Annette
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|a Hribljan, Melita Cacic
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|a Othman, Marwan H.
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|a Zibrandtsen, Ivan
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|a Bergdal, Ove
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|a Fabritius, Maria Louise
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|a Hansen, Adam Espe
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|a Hassager, Christian
|b 10
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|a S Højgaard, Joan Lilja
|b 11
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|a Knudsen, Niels Vendelbo
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|a Laursen, Emilie Lund
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|a Nersesjan, Vardan
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|a Nicolic, Miki
|b 15
700 1 _ |0 P:(DE-HGF)0
|a Welling, Karen Lise
|b 16
700 1 _ |0 P:(DE-HGF)0
|a Jensen, Helene Ravnholt
|b 17
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|a Sigurdsson, Sigurdur Thor
|b 18
700 1 _ |0 P:(DE-HGF)0
|a Møller, Jacob E.
|b 19
700 1 _ |0 P:(DE-HGF)0
|a Sitt, Jacobo D.
|b 20
700 1 _ |0 P:(DE-HGF)0
|a Sølling, Christine
|b 21
700 1 _ |0 P:(DE-HGF)0
|a Willumsen, Lisette M.
|b 22
700 1 _ |0 P:(DE-HGF)0
|a Hauerberg, John
|b 23
700 1 _ |0 P:(DE-HGF)0
|a Andrée Larsen, Vibeke
|b 24
700 1 _ |0 P:(DE-HGF)0
|a Fabricius, Martin Ejler
|b 25
700 1 _ |0 P:(DE-HGF)0
|a Knudsen, Gitte Moos
|b 26
700 1 _ |0 P:(DE-HGF)0
|a Kjærgaard, Jesper
|b 27
700 1 _ |0 0000-0003-3058-1072
|a Møller, Kirsten
|b 28
700 1 _ |0 0000-0001-5562-9808
|a Kondziella, Daniel
|b 29
|e Corresponding author
773 _ _ |a 10.1101/2023.02.06.23285527
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