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@ARTICLE{Yu:1021988,
author = {Yu, Jinyang and Hamdan, Sami and Sasse, Leonard and
Morrison, Abigail and Patil, Kaustubh R.},
title = {{E}mpirical {C}omparison between {C}ross-{V}alidation and
{M}utation-{V}alidation in {M}odel {S}election},
publisher = {arXiv},
reportid = {FZJ-2024-01127},
year = {2023},
abstract = {Mutation validation (MV) is a recently proposed approach
for model selection, garnering significant interest due to
its unique characteristics and potential benefits compared
to the widely used cross-validation (CV) method. In this
study, we empirically compared MV and $k$-fold CV using
benchmark and real-world datasets. By employing Bayesian
tests, we compared generalization estimates yielding three
posterior probabilities: practical equivalence, CV
superiority, and MV superiority. We also evaluated the
differences in the capacity of the selected models and
computational efficiency. We found that both MV and CV
select models with practically equivalent generalization
performance across various machine learning algorithms and
the majority of benchmark datasets. MV exhibited advantages
in terms of selecting simpler models and lower computational
costs. However, in some cases MV selected overly simplistic
models leading to underfitting and showed instability in
hyperparameter selection. These limitations of MV became
more evident in the evaluation of a real-world
neuroscientific task of predicting sex at birth using brain
functional connectivity.},
keywords = {Machine Learning (cs.LG) (Other) / Machine Learning
(stat.ML) (Other) / FOS: Computer and information sciences
(Other)},
cin = {INM-7},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)INM-7-20090406},
pnm = {5254 - Neuroscientific Data Analytics and AI (POF4-525)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-5254},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)25},
doi = {10.48550/ARXIV.2311.14079},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/1021988},
}