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@ARTICLE{Gell:1022060,
author = {Gell, Martin and Eickhoff, Simon B. and Omidvarnia, Amir
and Küppers, Vincent and Patil, Kaustubh R. and
Satterthwaite, Theodore D. and Müller, Veronika and
Langner, Robert},
title = {{T}he {B}urden of {R}eliability: {H}ow {M}easurement
{N}oise {L}imits {B}rain-{B}ehaviour {P}redictions},
reportid = {FZJ-2024-01197},
year = {2023},
abstract = {Major efforts in human neuroimaging strive to understand
individual differences and find biomarkers for clinical
applications by predicting behavioural phenotypes from brain
imaging data. An essential prerequisite for identifying
generalizable and replicable brain-behaviour prediction
models is sufficient measurement reliability. However, the
selection of prediction targets is predominantly guided by
scientific interest or data availability rather than
reliability considerations. Here we demonstrate the impact
of low phenotypic reliability on out-of-sample prediction
performance. Using simulated and empirical data from the
Human Connectome Projects, we found that reliability levels
common across many phenotypes can markedly limit the ability
to link brain and behaviour. Next, using 5000 subjects from
the UK Biobank, we show that only highly reliable data can
fully benefit from increasing sample sizes from hundreds to
thousands of participants. Overall, our findings highlight
the importance of measurement reliability for identifying
brain–behaviour associations from individual differences.},
cin = {INM-7},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)INM-7-20090406},
pnm = {5254 - Neuroscientific Data Analytics and AI (POF4-525)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-5254},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)25},
doi = {10.1101/2023.02.09.527898},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/1022060},
}