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@ARTICLE{Govett:1034098,
author = {Govett, Mark and Bah, Bubacar and Bauer, Peter and Berod,
Dominique and Bouchet, Veronique and Corti, Susanna and
Davis, Chris and Duan, Yihong and Graham, Tim and Honda,
Yuki and Hines, Adrian and Jean, Michel and Ishida, Junishi
and Lawrence, Bryan and Li, Jian and Luterbacher, Juerg and
Muroi, Chiasi and Rowe, Kris and Schultz, Martin and
Visbeck, Martin and Williams, Keith},
title = {{E}xascale {C}omputing and {D}ata {H}andling: {C}hallenges
and {O}pportunities for {W}eather and {C}limate
{P}rediction},
journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},
volume = {105},
number = {12},
issn = {0003-0007},
address = {Boston, Mass.},
publisher = {ASM},
reportid = {FZJ-2024-06919},
pages = {E2385–E2404},
year = {2024},
abstract = {The emergence of exascale computing and artificial
intelligence offer tremendous potential to significantly
advance Earth system prediction capabilities. However,
enormous challenges must be overcome to adapt models and
prediction systems to use these new technologies
effectively. A 2022 WMO report on exascale computing
recommends “urgency in dedicating efforts and attention to
disruptions associated with evolving computing technologies
that will be increasingly difficult to overcome, threatening
continued advancements in weather and climate prediction
capabilities.” Further, the explosive growth in data from
observations, model and ensemble output, and postprocessing
threatens to overwhelm the ability to deliver timely,
accurate, and precise information needed for
decision-making. Artificial intelligence (AI) offers
untapped opportunities to alter how models are developed,
observations are processed, and predictions are analyzed and
extracted for decision-making. Given the extraordinarily
high cost of computing, growing complexity of prediction
systems, and increasingly unmanageable amount of data being
produced and consumed, these challenges are rapidly becoming
too large for any single institution or country to handle.
This paper describes key technical and budgetary challenges,
identifies gaps and ways to address them, and makes a number
of recommendations.},
cin = {JSC},
ddc = {550},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)JSC-20090406},
pnm = {5111 - Domain-Specific Simulation $\&$ Data Life Cycle Labs
(SDLs) and Research Groups (POF4-511) / Earth System Data
Exploration (ESDE)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-5111 / G:(DE-Juel-1)ESDE},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
UT = {WOS:001382177000003},
doi = {10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0220.1},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/1034098},
}