% IMPORTANT: The following is UTF-8 encoded.  This means that in the presence
% of non-ASCII characters, it will not work with BibTeX 0.99 or older.
% Instead, you should use an up-to-date BibTeX implementation like “bibtex8” or
% “biber”.

@ARTICLE{Skalk:1041804,
      author       = {Skalák, Petr and Meitner, Jan and Fischer, Milan and
                      Orság, Matěj and Graf, Alexander and Hlavsová, Monika and
                      Trnka, Miroslav},
      title        = {{T}he {P}rojected {C}hanges in the {S}urface {E}nergy
                      {B}udget of the {CMIP}5 and {EURO}-{CORDEX} {M}odels: {A}re
                      {W}e {H}eading toward {W}etter {G}rowing {S}easons in
                      {C}entral {E}urope?},
      journal      = {Journal of hydrometeorology},
      volume       = {26},
      number       = {4},
      issn         = {1525-755X},
      address      = {Boston, Mass.},
      publisher    = {AMS},
      reportid     = {FZJ-2025-02440},
      pages        = {481 - 499},
      year         = {2025},
      abstract     = {We analyze the surface energy budget from four climate
                      model ensembles and its future changes in thetwenty-first
                      century under the RCP8.5 or shared socioeconomic pathway
                      (SSP) 5-8.5 scenario. High-resolution Europeandomain of the
                      Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment
                      (EURO-CORDEX) regional climate models(RCMs) and their
                      driving CMIP5 global climate models (CMIP5-D) are first
                      tested in central Europe against observationaldatasets.
                      Evaluation reveals the added value of RCMs in terms of
                      spatial variability and smaller biases. CMIP5-D are
                      af-fected by the positive bias of global irradiance that
                      propagates into other radiation and heat fluxes. There are
                      strong differ-ences in the projected surface energy budget
                      components between RCMs and CMIP5-D. There is an increase in
                      globalirradiance for most of the year in CMIP5-D and other
                      GCM ensembles that is translated into a year-round
                      enhancementof the absorbed solar energy and balanced by
                      higher latent heat flux, except in summer, when the sensible
                      heat flux risesstrongly. Together with strong warming and
                      reduced precipitation in summer, this leads to warm, sunny,
                      and dry conditionswith reduced evapotranspiration and higher
                      drought stress for vegetation. In the RCMs, the reduction in
                      global irradiancedominates, and it is translated into a
                      round-year reduction in the net balance of longwave
                      radiation and stronger latentheat flux. The first months of
                      the growing season show weaker warming associated with
                      higher evapotranspiration and pre-cipitation. In summer,
                      precipitation drops and global irradiance and warming rise,
                      but they fall behind the changes in theGCMs. Compared to
                      GCMs, there are less visible signs of conditions leading to
                      a reduction in evapotranspiration or ashortage of soil water
                      in the RCMs in summer.},
      cin          = {IBG-3},
      ddc          = {550},
      cid          = {I:(DE-Juel1)IBG-3-20101118},
      pnm          = {2173 - Agro-biogeosystems: controls, feedbacks and impact
                      (POF4-217)},
      pid          = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-2173},
      typ          = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
      UT           = {WOS:001472476700001},
      doi          = {10.1175/JHM-D-24-0017.1},
      url          = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/1041804},
}