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@ARTICLE{Adriko:1047371,
author = {Adriko, Kennedy and Sedona, Rocco and Seguini, Lorenzo and
Riedel, Morris and Cavallaro, Gabriele and Paris, Claudia},
title = {{F}rom {MODIS} to {S}entinel-2: {A} {R}egional
{C}omparative {A}nalysis of {C}rop-{Y}ield {P}rediction with
{M}atched {S}patiotemporal {D}ata},
journal = {IEEE journal of selected topics in applied earth
observations and remote sensing},
volume = {18},
issn = {1939-1404},
address = {New York, NY},
publisher = {IEEE},
reportid = {FZJ-2025-04261},
pages = {27663 - 27683},
year = {2025},
abstract = {Large-scale crop yield mapping has long relied on the
Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MODIS) due to its
high temporal resolution and consistent atmospheric
correction. The Sentinel-2 constellation, with its finer
spatial resolution and vegetation-sensitive spectral bands,
now offers new opportunities for regional- and field-scale
yield prediction—especially as MODIS nears the end of its
operational life. However, it remains unclear whether
Sentinel-2 can ensure continuity of MODIS-based estimates
across diverse agricultural regions. We present a regional
sensor-to-sensor comparison of MODIS and Sentinel-2 for crop
yield prediction using matched spatiotemporal inputs across
two agro-ecological zones. Using reproducible regression
workflows, we demonstrate that Sentinel-2 captures finer
spatial variation in crop phenology and consistently
outperforms MODIS in terms of predictive accuracy. For
cotton, Sentinel-2 achieved an RMSE of 123.52 lb/acre and R2
of 0.76, versus MODIS with 129.20 lb/acre and R2 of 0.74.
For corn, Sentinel-2 achieved 8.40 Bu/acre and 0.79,
outperforming MODIS at 8.69 and 0.66, respectively. SHAP
analysis identifies Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI),
Fraction of Photosynthetically Active Radiation (FPAR), and
Leaf Area Index (LAI) as key predictors across both sensors.
Despite its lower temporal frequency, Sentinel-2 delivers
robust, regionally consistent estimates, supporting its
suitability as a successor to MODIS for operational crop
monitoring.},
cin = {JSC},
ddc = {520},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)JSC-20090406},
pnm = {5111 - Domain-Specific Simulation $\&$ Data Life Cycle Labs
(SDLs) and Research Groups (POF4-511) / Embed2Scale - Earth
Observation $\&$ Weather Data Federation with AI Embeddings
(101131841)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-5111 / G:(EU-Grant)101131841},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
doi = {10.1109/JSTARS.2025.3624046},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/1047371},
}