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@ARTICLE{Dscher:1049069,
      author       = {Döscher, Niels and Mietz, Julia and Graf, Alexander and de
                      Arróyabe Hernáez, Pablo Fernández and Leuchner, Michael},
      title        = {{B}ioclimate analogue regions - finding present day
                      examples for future bioclimatic conditions},
      journal      = {International journal of biometeorology},
      volume       = {69},
      number       = {12},
      issn         = {0367-8253},
      address      = {Heidelberg},
      publisher    = {Springer},
      reportid     = {FZJ-2025-05162},
      pages        = {3691 - 3710},
      year         = {2025},
      abstract     = {This study combines the method of climate analogue regions
                      with a bioclimatic approach. Bioclimate analogue regions
                      were determined for the Rhenish lignite mining area in
                      western Germany, which will face a major structural change
                      in the following decades. These analogue regions currently
                      experience a similar number of days with heat stress
                      compared to the projected future (RCP8.5) at the end of the
                      century in the investigation area. The method is based on
                      the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI) parameters
                      temperature, solar radiation, wind and relative humidity in
                      3-h temporal resolution while taking day- and night-time
                      values into account. The analogues were calculated for an
                      ensemble of 15 GCM-RCM model combinations from EURO-CORDEX
                      data. The results suggest that analogue regions of the
                      Rhenish lignite mining area are most likely to be found in
                      southern Europe. The highest similarities for the whole
                      ensemble can be found around the Gulf du Lion in southern
                      France. However, some other regions, e.g. around the Black
                      Sea, north of the Balkan Mountains or south of Bordeaux are
                      good fits in some individual model results. While some of
                      these regions are in accordance with previous studies on
                      climate analogue regions, some others were unexpected. The
                      study further shows advantages of using full-coverage
                      instead of punctual data for climate analogue determination,
                      as the results in this study exhibit a high level of spatial
                      detail. For areas facing major structural changes, knowledge
                      of possible climate futures and their present examples can
                      be key aspects for regional planning.},
      cin          = {IBG-3},
      ddc          = {570},
      cid          = {I:(DE-Juel1)IBG-3-20101118},
      pnm          = {2173 - Agro-biogeosystems: controls, feedbacks and impact
                      (POF4-217)},
      pid          = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-2173},
      typ          = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
      doi          = {10.1007/s00484-025-03052-w},
      url          = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/1049069},
}