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@PHDTHESIS{Komeyer:1050728,
author = {Komeyer, Vera},
title = {{N}eurobiological {P}redictors of {H}and {G}rip {S}trength
as a {G}lobal {H}ealth {M}arker: {M}ethodological
{F}oundations and {I}nterpretable {B}rain-{B}ehaviour
{P}rediction in {L}arge-{S}cale {N}euroimaging},
school = {HHU Düsseldorf},
type = {Dissertation},
reportid = {FZJ-2026-00471},
pages = {151},
year = {2026},
note = {Dissertation, HHU Düsseldorf, 2026},
abstract = {Aging populations worldwide are widening the gap between
lifespan and healthspan, underscoring theneed for early,
scalable markers of organismal health and intervention
targets before overt clinicaldecline. Hand grip strength
(HGS) has emerged as a highly reliable and low-cost
predictor of systemwidefactors such as frailty, cognitive
decline, and mortality. Despite its simplicity and
clearmusculoskeletal determinants, explaining its
system-wide predictive value requires a deeperunderstanding
of underlying brain-level neurobiological architectures,
which is currently lacking. Thisthesis addresses this gap by
investigating generalizable neural predictors of HGS using
machine learning(ML) with large-scale, multi-modal
neuroimaging data, grounded in methodological foundations
forinterpretable brain-behaviour prediction.A critical
review of methodological constraints and potential
mitigation strategies inobservational neuroimaging-based ML
studies was conducted to promote more reliable
andgeneralizable brain-behaviour predictions and
interpretations (Study 1). Such studies can be hamperedby
pitfalls including data leakage, site-effects in multi-site
datasets, misleading post-hoc modelinterpretations arising
from feature multicollinearity, and model bias due to
confounding. Strict out-ofsampleevaluation and
clustering-based interpretation to deal with feature
multicollinearity wereidentified as suitable solutions. To
support principled confounder selection, a theoretically
informed butempirically pragmatic 3-step approach was
developped (Study 2). The proposed approach
integratesmethdology from causal inference - domain
knowledge, directed acyclic graphs, and respective
graphrules - with associative data-driven modeling.Building
on these foundations, a comprehensive, interpretable
multi-modal predictive workflowrevealed generalizable,
system-level neuroimaging predictors of HGS in a large,
healthy cohort fromthe UK Biobank (Study 3). Across modeling
approaches, microstructural integrity – particularly
inascending medial lemniscus, thalamic radiations, and
associative white-matter pathways – as well assubcortical
gray matter volume (GMV), mainly in the anterior globus
pallidus, emerged as relevantcontributors. In contrast,
cortical structural measures and functional imaging features
contributed littleto predictive performance. Collectively,
these findings position HGS as a behavioural readout of
thebrain’s capacity to coordinate, and integrate
information across motor, sensory, cognitive,
andmotivational systems, rather than a purely peripheral
muscle measure or an isolated motor output.In sum, this
thesis establishes a framework for neurobiologically
interpretable large-scale brainbehaviourprediction and
applies it to elucidate why HGS functions as a powerful
marker of globalhealth. By intergating methodological rigor
with system-level neuroimaging, it demonstrates howsimple
behavioural phenotypes can serve as informative windows into
the functioning and integrity ofdistributed neural
architectures. Future work should determine whether
identified HGS-linked neuralsignatures provide better or
earlier prognostic and interventional value than the
behavioural measureitself.},
cin = {INM-7},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)INM-7-20090406},
pnm = {5253 - Neuroimaging (POF4-525)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-5253},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)11},
doi = {10.34734/FZJ-2026-00471},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/1050728},
}