TY  - CONF
AU  - Titz, Maurizio
AU  - Witthaut, Dirk
TI  - A Data-Driven Analysis of Unscheduled Flows in the European Power System
VL  - 16096
CY  - Cham
PB  - Springer Nature Switzerland
M1  - FZJ-2026-00516
SN  - 978-3-032-03097-9 (print)
T2  - Lecture Notes in Computer Science
SP  - 237–253
PY  - 2025
AB  - Cross-border electricity trading is becoming increasingly important in the European power system. Unscheduled power flows induce additional costs and may lead to congestion and impair power grid operation. In this contribution we provide a data-centric analysis of unscheduled flows in the Central European power grid. Using methods from explainable machine learning, we identify the main driving factors for unscheduled flows and quantify their impact. Unscheduled flows in the meshed part of the grid can be attributed to transit or loop flows primarily and are well described by a linear model. The performance is substantially worse for unscheduled flows on bridges, with forecast errors being the most important drivers. This performance gap is probably due to data quality issues.
T2  - Nordic Energy Informatics Academy Conference
CY  - 20 Aug 2025 - 22 Aug 2025, Stockholm (Sweden)
Y2  - 20 Aug 2025 - 22 Aug 2025
M2  - Stockholm, Sweden
LB  - PUB:(DE-HGF)8 ; PUB:(DE-HGF)7
DO  - DOI:10.1007/978-3-032-03098-6_16
UR  - https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/1051589
ER  -