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@INPROCEEDINGS{Omoyele:1053971,
author = {Omoyele, Olalekan and Hoffmann, Maximilian and Weinand,
Jann and Larraneta, M. and Stolten, Detlef},
title = {{A} {H}igh-{R}esolution {D}ownscaling {A}pproach for
{S}olar {I}rradiance {U}sing {S}tatistical {P}arameter
{M}atching},
reportid = {FZJ-2026-01647},
year = {2025},
abstract = {The limited intra-hour variability of globally available
hourly renewable energy system data leads to inaccuracies in
the modeling of renewable energy systems. This work,
therefore, presents a methodology to increase the temporal
resolution of the global horizontal irradiance from one hour
to one minute using non-dimensional irradiance and
parameters matching for arbitrary locations. The methodology
is validated using statistical methods and energy system
modeling in self-sufficient buildings. The hourly annual
normalized root mean square error and Kolmogorov-Smirnov
Integral range from 6 - $12\%$ and 0.1 - 0.84, respectively,
for different locations consisting of varying weather
conditions. The energy system optimization results of the
synthetic data demonstrate superiority in terms of cost and
feasibility relative to the average hourly resolution data.
The use of synthetic minute resolution data has been shown
to significantly improve the design accuracy of dynamic
components such as inverters (where underestimation in
capacity is up to $58\%)$ and storage systems. The developed
methodology facilitates more reliable energy system
modeling.},
month = {Jun},
date = {2025-06-22},
organization = {'Association of European Operational
Research Societies (EURO), Leeds
(United Kingdom), 22 Jun 2025 - 25 Jun
2025},
cin = {ICE-2},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)ICE-2-20101013},
pnm = {1111 - Effective System Transformation Pathways (POF4-111)
/ 1112 - Societally Feasible Transformation Pathways
(POF4-111)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-1111 / G:(DE-HGF)POF4-1112},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)1},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/1053971},
}