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@ARTICLE{Pozzoli:16949,
author = {Pozzoli, L. and Janssens-Maenhout, G. and Diehl, T. and
Bey, I. and Schultz, M.G. and Feichter, J. and Vignati, E.
and Dentener, F.},
title = {{R}e-analysis of tropospheric sulfate aerosol and ozone for
the period 1980-2005 using the aerosol-chemistry-climate
model {ECHAM}5-{HAMMOZ}},
journal = {Atmospheric chemistry and physics},
volume = {11},
issn = {1680-7316},
address = {Katlenburg-Lindau},
publisher = {EGU},
reportid = {PreJuSER-16949},
pages = {9563 - 9594},
year = {2011},
note = {This work has received partial funding from the European
Community's Seventh Framework Programme (FP7) in the project
PEGASOS (grant agreement 265148). We greatly acknowledge
Sebastian Rast at Max Planck Institute for Meteorology,
Hamburg, for the scientific and technical support. We would
like also to thank the Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum (DKRZ)
and the Forschungszentrum Julich for the computing resources
and technical support. We would like to thank the EMEP,
WDCGG, and CASTNET networks for providing ozone and sulfate
measurements over Europe and North America.},
abstract = {Understanding historical trends of trace gas and aerosol
distributions in the troposphere is essential to evaluate
the efficiency of existing strategies to reduce air
pollution and to design more efficient future air quality
and climate policies. We performed coupled photochemistry
and aerosol microphysics simulations for the period
1980-2005 using the aerosol-chemistry-climate model
ECHAM5-HAMMOZ, to assess our understanding of long-term
changes and interannual variability of the chemical
composition of the troposphere, and in particular of ozone
and sulfate concentrations, for which long-term surface
observations are available. In order to separate the impact
of the anthropogenic emissions and natural variability on
atmospheric chemistry, we compare two model experiments,
driven by the same ECMWF re-analysis data, but with varying
and constant anthropogenic emissions, respectively. Our
model analysis indicates an increase of ca. 1 ppbv (0.055
+/- 0.002 ppbv yr(-1)) in global average surface O-3
concentrations due to anthropogenic emissions, but this
trend is largely masked by the larger O-3 anomalies due to
the variability of meteorology and natural emissions. The
changes in meteorology (not including stratospheric
variations) and natural emissions account for the $75\%$ of
the total variability of global average surface O-3
concentrations. Regionally, annual mean surface O-3
concentrations increased by 1.3 and 1.6 ppbv over Europe and
North America, respectively, despite the large anthropogenic
emission reductions between 1980 and 2005. A comparison of
winter and summer O-3 trends with measurements shows a
qualitative agreement, except in North America, where our
model erroneously computed a positive trend. Simulated O-3
increases of more than 4 ppbv in East Asia and 5 ppbv in
South Asia can not be corroborated with long-term
observations. Global average sulfate surface concentrations
are largely controlled by anthropogenic emissions. Globally
natural emissions are an important driver determining AOD
variations. Regionally, AOD decreased by $28\%$ over Europe,
while it increased by $19\%$ and $26\%$ in East and South
Asia. The global radiative perturbation calculated in our
model for the period 1980-2005 was rather small (0.05 W
m(-2) for O-3 and 0.02 W m(-2) for total aerosol direct
effect), but larger perturbations ranging from -0.54 to 1.26
W m(-2) are estimated in those regions where anthropogenic
emissions largely varied.},
keywords = {J (WoSType)},
cin = {IEK-8},
ddc = {550},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-8-20101013},
pnm = {Atmosphäre und Klima / PEGASOS - Pan-European
Gas-AeroSol-climate interaction Study (265148)},
pid = {G:(DE-Juel1)FUEK491 / G:(EU-Grant)265148},
shelfmark = {Meteorology $\&$ Atmospheric Sciences},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
UT = {WOS:000295368700009},
doi = {10.5194/acp-11-9563-2011},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/16949},
}