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@ARTICLE{Kuzmanovic:186318,
      author       = {Kuzmanovic, Bojana and Jefferson, A. and Vogeley, K.},
      title        = {{S}elf-specific optimism bias in belief updating is
                      associated with high trait optimism.},
      journal      = {Journal of behavioral decision making},
      volume       = {28},
      number       = {3},
      issn         = {0894-3257},
      address      = {New York, NY [u.a.]},
      publisher    = {Wiley},
      reportid     = {FZJ-2015-00394},
      pages        = {281–293},
      year         = {2015},
      abstract     = {People learn more from new information when it leads to
                      favorable future outlooks and thus can maintain optimism
                      despite conflicting evidence. In two studies (N = 20 and
                      26), we investigated whether this optimism bias in belief
                      updating is self-specific by modifying a recently introduced
                      learning paradigm. In each trial, participants had to
                      estimate the probability of experiencing a negative future
                      event, were then presented with the population base rate of
                      that event, and were subsequently asked for a second,
                      updated estimation. In half of the 88 trials with varying
                      events, estimations were made for oneself, in the other half
                      for a similar other. We tested whether the updates
                      (differences between the first and second estimates)
                      following undesirable base rate were lower than those
                      following desirable base rates, and whether this difference
                      was greater for self relative to other. In both studies, the
                      overall results support the presence of a self-specific
                      optimism bias in belief updating. However, taking into
                      account trait optimism (TO) as a moderator variable revealed
                      that this was the case only in participants with high TO,
                      whereas those with low TO showed optimistic belief updating
                      for both self and other. In Study 2, we additionally
                      controlled for possible misclassifications of base rate
                      desirability. Taken together, the optimism bias in belief
                      updating was demonstrated by a selective neglect of
                      unfavorable information. A self-specific influence of this
                      bias in individuals with high TO may ultimately cause the
                      impression of a more positive future outlook relative to
                      others},
      cin          = {INM-3 / INM-8},
      ddc          = {150},
      cid          = {I:(DE-Juel1)INM-3-20090406 / I:(DE-Juel1)INM-8-20090406},
      pnm          = {572 - (Dys-)function and Plasticity (POF3-572)},
      pid          = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-572},
      typ          = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
      UT           = {WOS:000356717200007},
      doi          = {10.1002/bdm.1849},
      url          = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/186318},
}