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@ARTICLE{Wagner:188567,
author = {Wagner, A. and Blechschmidt, A.-M. and Bouarar, I. and
Brunke, E.-G. and Clerbaux, C. and Cupeiro, M. and
Cristofanelli, P. and Eskes, H. and Flemming, J. and
Flentje, H. and George, M. and Gilge, S. and Hilboll, A. and
Inness, A. and Kapsomenakis, J. and Richter, A. and Ries, L.
and Spangl, W. and Stein, O. and Weller, R. and Zerefos, C.},
title = {{E}valuation of the {MACC} operational forecast system –
potential and challenges of global near-real-time modelling
with respect to reactive gases in the troposphere},
journal = {Atmospheric chemistry and physics / Discussions},
volume = {15},
number = {5},
issn = {1680-7375},
address = {Katlenburg-Lindau},
publisher = {EGU},
reportid = {FZJ-2015-01918},
pages = {6277 - 6335},
year = {2015},
abstract = {Monitoring Atmospheric Composition and Climate
(MACC/MACCII) currently represents the European Union's
Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)
(http://www.copernicus.eu), which will become fully
operational in the course of 2015. The global near-real-time
MACC model production run for aerosol and reactive gases
provides daily analyses and 5 day forecasts of atmospheric
composition fields. It is the only assimilation system
world-wide that is operational to produce global analyses
and forecasts of reactive gases and aerosol fields. We have
investigated the ability of the MACC analysis system to
simulate tropospheric concentrations of reactive gases (CO,
O3, and NO2) covering the period between 2009 and 2012. A
validation was performed based on CO and O3 surface
observations from the Global Atmosphere Watch (GAW) network,
O3 surface observations from the European Monitoring and
Evaluation Programme (EMEP) and furthermore, NO2
tropospheric columns derived from the satellite sensors
SCIAMACHY and GOME-2, and CO total columns derived from the
satellite sensor MOPITT. The MACC system proved capable of
reproducing reactive gas concentrations in consistent
quality, however, with a seasonally dependent bias compared
to surface and satellite observations: for northern
hemispheric surface O3 mixing ratios, positive biases appear
during the warm seasons and negative biases during the cold
parts of the years, with monthly Modified Normalised Mean
Biases (MNMBs) ranging between −30 and $30\%$ at the
surface. Model biases are likely to result from difficulties
in the simulation of vertical mixing at night and
deficiencies in the model's dry deposition parameterization.
Observed tropospheric columns of NO2 and CO could be
reproduced correctly during the warm seasons, but are mostly
underestimated by the model during the cold seasons, when
anthropogenic emissions are at a highest, especially over
the US, Europe and Asia. Monthly MNMBs of the satellite data
evaluation range between −110 and $40\%$ for NO2 and at
most $−20\%$ for CO, over the investigated regions. The
underestimation is likely to result from a combination of
errors concerning the dry deposition parameterization and
certain limitations in the current emission inventories,
together with an insufficiently established seasonality in
the emissions.},
cin = {IEK-8 / JSC},
ddc = {550},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-8-20101013 / I:(DE-Juel1)JSC-20090406},
pnm = {243 - Tropospheric trace substances and their
transformation processes (POF3-243) / 511 - Computational
Science and Mathematical Methods (POF3-511) / MACC II -
Monitoring Atmospheric Composition and Climate Interim
Implementation (283576)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-243 / G:(DE-HGF)POF3-511 /
G:(EU-Grant)283576},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
doi = {10.5194/acpd-15-6277-2015},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/188567},
}