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@ARTICLE{Vrai:189151,
author = {Várai, Anita and Homonnai, Viktória and Jánosi, Imre M.
and Müller, Rolf},
title = {{E}arly signatures of ozone trend reversal over the
{A}ntarctic},
journal = {Earth's Future},
volume = {3},
number = {3},
issn = {2328-4277},
address = {Hoboken, NJ},
publisher = {Wiley-Blackwell},
reportid = {FZJ-2015-02351},
pages = {95–109},
year = {2015},
abstract = {We report on a detailed time series analysis of long total
column ozone (TO) records based on multi-satellite
observations of daily resolution. We concentrate on three
geographic latitudes over and around the Antarctic area,
specifically on three circles at 58.5°S, 59.5°S, and
79.5°S. Almost continuous observations are available at the
two former latitudes; however, data are lacking during the
polar winter periods at 79.5°S, because the measurement
technique requires sunlight. The methodology is motivated by
level-crossing statistics, where subsets of the records
above or below particular threshold levels are evaluated.
Long-term trend reversal at around the turn of the century
is already detectable for low TO levels in the raw time
series in the “ozone-hole” region (79.5°S). In order to
overcome the apparent non-stationarities of the time series,
we determined daily TO differences (ΔTO) belonging to the
same geographic longitudes between the different latitudinal
circles. The result is a stable, stationary behavior for
small (absolute) ΔTO values in the period
January–February–March without any significant
detectable trends. The high absolute value ΔTO subsets
(September–October–November) indicate a robust trend
reversal in the middle of the 1990s. The observed trend
reversal in the total column ozone time series is consistent
with the temporal development of the stratospheric halogen
loading. However, a close correspondence of ozone and
halogen turnaround years is not expected because of the
statistical uncertainties in the determination of the ozone
turnaround, and the many factors contributing to ozone
depletion processes.},
cin = {IEK-7},
ddc = {550},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-7-20101013},
pnm = {244 - Composition and dynamics of the upper troposphere and
middle atmosphere (POF3-244) / STRATOCLIM - Stratospheric
and upper tropospheric processes for better climate
predictions (603557)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-244 / G:(EU-Grant)603557},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
UT = {WOS:000358139800001},
doi = {10.1002/2014EF000270},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/189151},
}