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@INPROCEEDINGS{Markewitz:202884,
author = {Markewitz, Peter and Hake, Jürgen-Fr. and Heinrichs, Heidi
and Kuckshinrichs, Wilhelm and Martinsen, Dag},
title = {{T}he future role of {CCS} as part of a {G}erman greenhouse
gas mitigation strategy},
reportid = {FZJ-2015-05031},
year = {2015},
abstract = {The German Federal Government has set CO2 reduction targets
of $40\%$ for 2020 and 80 – $90\%$ for 2050 in relation to
levels of 1990. In addition to CO2 reduction, German energy
and climate policy comprises further ambitious targets
(governmental energy concept). These include rapidly and
strongly increasing of efficiency and the use of renewable
energy. According to the 5th IPCC assessment report CCS is
one key technology to meet the ambitious reduction goal of
2°C. Because of acceptance problems carbon capture and
storage (CCS) is not an element of the German governmental
energy concept. Nevertheless, we analyzed the system value
of CCS in Germany within the context of consistent
greenhouse gas reduction scenarios with and without the
implementation of CCS technologies. The system value of CCS
is determined by identifying additional CO2 avoidance costs
that would occur if climate change mitigation targets were
to be met without using CCS even though CCS technology was
available. The methodological basis for the scenario
calculations is the bottom-up energy system model IKARUS
with detailed depictions of the technical energy supply
structures in Germany for scenario-based analysis of CO2
reduction strategies. The energy economics results comprise
energy and CO2 balances, capacity development, and the cost
of CO2 mitigation strategies. From this, the system value of
CCS and the contribution of all model sectors to it are
derived.Our calculations show, that the additional costs in
the scenario without CCS are higher over the whole period
than the costs of the scenario with CCS, i.e. the CCS option
is used and cuts the costs. In the scenario without CCS,
additional costs arise especially in the sectors households
and transport, as well as to a smaller extend in the
industrial sector. Overall, the integral additional costs
for the period until 2050 are approximately $50\%$ higher
than for the case with CCS. Over the whole period until 2050
the net present value of additional system cost of excluding
CCS technologies is approx. €2010 100 billion.},
month = {Jul},
date = {2015-07-07},
organization = {3rd International Symposium on Energy
$Challenges\&Mechanics,$ Aberdeen
(Scotland), 7 Jul 2015 - 9 Jul 2015},
subtyp = {Invited},
cin = {IEK-STE},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-STE-20101013},
pnm = {153 - Assessment of Energy Systems – Addressing Issues of
Energy Efficiency and Energy Security (POF3-153)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-153},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)6},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/202884},
}