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@ARTICLE{Huijnen:21129,
author = {Huijnen, V. and Flemming, J. and Kaiser, J.W. and Inness,
A. and Leitao, J. and Heil, A. and Eskes, H.J. and Schultz,
M.G. and Benedetti, A. and Hadji-Lazaro, J. and Dufour, G.
and Eremenko, M.},
title = {{H}indcast experiments of tropospheric composition during
the summer 2010 fires over western {R}ussia},
journal = {Atmospheric chemistry and physics},
volume = {12},
issn = {1680-7316},
address = {Katlenburg-Lindau},
publisher = {EGU},
reportid = {PreJuSER-21129},
pages = {4341 - 4364},
year = {2012},
note = {We thank N. Chubarova and B. Holben and their staff for
maintaining the Moscow AERONET site which provided data used
in this investigation. Some of the satellite data were
downloaded from the National Aeronautics and Space
Administration (NASA) and the National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). We acknowledge the free
use of satellite retrieval data from www.temis.nl. D.
Hurtmans, P. Coheur (ULB, Belgium) and C. Clerbaux, M.
George (LATMOS, France) are acknowledged for scientific
development, maintenance and distribution of the CO products
from IASI, available from the Ether French atmospheric
database (http://ether.ipsl.jussieu.fr). The work has been
carried out within the MACC project, which is funded by the
European Commission under the Seventh Research Framework
Programme under contract number 218793.},
abstract = {The severe wildfires in western Russia during July-August
2010 coincided with a strong heat wave and led to large
emissions of aerosols and trace gases such as carbon
monoxide (CO), hydrocarbons and nitrogen oxides into the
troposphere. This extreme event is used to evaluate the
ability of the global MACC (Monitoring Atmospheric
Composition and Climate) atmospheric composition forecasting
system to provide analyses of large-scale pollution episodes
and to test the respective influence of a priori emission
information and data assimilation on the results. Daily
4-day hindcasts were conducted using assimilated aerosol
optical depth (AOD), CO, nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and ozone
(O-3) data from a range of satellite instruments. Daily fire
emissions were used from the Global Fire Assimilation System
(GFAS) version 1.0, derived from satellite fire radiative
power retrievals.The impact of accurate wildfire emissions
is dominant on the composition in the boundary layer,
whereas the assimilation system influences concentrations
throughout the troposphere, reflecting the vertical
sensitivity of the satellite instruments. The application of
the daily fire emissions reduces the area-average mean bias
by $63\%$ (for CO), $60\%$ (O-3) and $75\%$ (NO2) during the
first 24 h with respect to independent satellite
observations, compared to a reference simulation with a
multi-annual mean climatology of biomass burning emissions.
When initial tracer concentrations are further constrained
by data assimilation, biases are reduced by 87, 67 and
$90\%.$ The forecast accuracy, quantified by the mean bias
up to 96 h lead time, was best for all compounds when using
both the GFAS emissions and assimilation. The model
simulations suggest an indirect positive impact of O-3 and
CO assimilation on hindcasts of NO2 via changes in the
oxidizing capacity.However, the quality of local hindcasts
was strongly dependent on the assumptions made for
forecasted fire emissions. This was well visible from a
relatively poor forecast accuracy quantified by the root
mean square error, as well as the temporal correlation with
respect to ground-based CO total column data and AOD. This
calls for a more advanced method to forecast fire emissions
than the currently adopted persistency approach.The combined
analysis of fire radiative power observations, multiple
trace gas and aerosol satellite observations, as provided by
the MACC system, results in a detailed quantitative
description of the impact of major fires on atmospheric
composition, and demonstrate the capabilities for the
real-time analysis and forecasts of large-scale fire
events.},
keywords = {J (WoSType)},
cin = {IEK-8},
ddc = {550},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-8-20101013},
pnm = {Atmosphäre und Klima / MACC - Monitoring Atmospheric
Composition and Climate (218793)},
pid = {G:(DE-Juel1)FUEK491 / G:(EU-Grant)218793},
shelfmark = {Meteorology $\&$ Atmospheric Sciences},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
UT = {WOS:000304055600032},
doi = {10.5194/acp-12-4341-2012},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/21129},
}