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@ARTICLE{Fry:21135,
author = {Fry, M.M. and Naik, V. and West, J.J. and Schwarzkopf, M.D.
and Fiore, A.M. and Collins, W.J. and Dentener, F.J. and
Shindell, D.T. and Atherton, C. and Bergmann, D. and Duncan,
B.N. and Hess, P. and MacKenzie, I.A. and Marmer, E. and
Schultz, M.G. and Szopa, S. and Wild, O. and Zeng, G.},
title = {{T}he influence of ozone precursor emissions from four
world regions on tropospheric composition and radiative
climate forcing},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research},
volume = {117},
issn = {0148-0227},
address = {Washington, DC},
publisher = {Union},
reportid = {PreJuSER-21135},
pages = {1 - 16},
year = {2012},
note = {The research described in this paper has been funded wholly
or in part by the United States Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA) under the Science to Achieve Results (STAR)
Graduate Fellowship Program (to M. M. Fry), by the EPA
Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, and by a UNC
Junior Faculty Development award (to J.J. West). EPA has not
officially endorsed this publication, and the views
expressed herein may not reflect the views of the EPA. W.J.
Collins was supported by the Joint DECC/Defra Met Office
Hadley Centre Climate Programme (GA01101) and Defra contract
AQ0902. We thank those involved in the CTM simulations
performed under the UN ECE Task Force on Hemispheric
Transport of Air Pollution. The NOAA Geophysical Fluid
Dynamics Laboratory provided the necessary computational
resources.},
abstract = {Ozone (O-3) precursor emissions influence regional and
global climate and air quality through changes in
tropospheric O-3 and oxidants, which also influence methane
(CH4) and sulfate aerosols (SO42-). We examine changes in
the tropospheric composition of O-3, CH4, SO42- and global
net radiative forcing (RF) for $20\%$ reductions in global
CH4 burden and in anthropogenic O-3 precursor emissions
(NOx, NMVOC, and CO) from four regions (East Asia, Europe
and Northern Africa, North America, and South Asia) using
the Task Force on Hemispheric Transport of Air Pollution
Source-Receptor global chemical transport model (CTM)
simulations, assessing uncertainty (mean +/- 1 standard
deviation) across multiple CTMs. We evaluate steady state
O-3 responses, including long-term feedbacks via CH4. With a
radiative transfer model that includes greenhouse gases and
the aerosol direct effect, we find that regional NOx
reductions produce global, annually averaged positive net
RFs (0.2 +/- 0.6 to 1.7 +/- 2 mWm(-2)/TgN yr(-1)), with some
variation among models. Negative net RFs result from
reductions in global CH4 (-162.6 +/- 2 mWm(-2) for a change
from 1760 to 1408 ppbv CH4) and regional NMVOC (-0.4 +/- 0.2
to -0.7 +/- 0.2 mWm(-2)/Tg C yr(-1)) and CO emissions (-0.13
+/- 0.02 to -0.15 +/- 0.02 mWm(-2)/Tg CO yr(-1)). Including
the effect of O-3 on CO2 uptake by vegetation likely makes
these net RFs more negative by -1.9 to -5.2 mWm(-2)/Tg N
yr(-1), -0.2 to -0.7 mWm(-2)/Tg C yr(-1), and -0.02 to -0.05
mWm(-2)/Tg CO yr(-1). Net RF impacts reflect the
distribution of concentration changes, where RF is affected
locally by changes in SO42-, regionally to hemispherically
by O-3, and globally by CH4. Global annual average SO42-
responses to oxidant changes range from 0.4 +/- 2.6 to -1.9
+/- 1.3 Gg for NOx reductions, 0.1 +/- 1.2 to -0.9 +/- 0.8
Gg for NMVOC reductions, and -0.09 +/- 0.5 to -0.9 +/- 0.8
Gg for CO reductions, suggesting additional research is
needed. The 100-year global warming potentials (GWP(100))
are calculated for the global CH4 reduction (20.9 +/- 3.7
without stratospheric O-3 or water vapor, 24.2 +/- 4.2
including those components), and for the regional NOx,
NMVOC, and CO reductions (-18.7 +/- 25.9 to -1.9 +/- 8.7 for
NOx, 4.8 +/- 1.7 to 8.3 +/- 1.9 for NMVOC, and 1.5 +/- 0.4
to 1.7 +/- 0.5 for CO). Variation in GWP(100) for NOx,
NMVOC, and CO suggests that regionally specific GWPs may be
necessary and could support the inclusion},
keywords = {J (WoSType)},
cin = {IEK-8},
ddc = {550},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-8-20101013},
pnm = {Atmosphäre und Klima},
pid = {G:(DE-Juel1)FUEK491},
shelfmark = {Meteorology $\&$ Atmospheric Sciences},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
UT = {WOS:000302876800002},
doi = {10.1029/2011JD017134},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/21135},
}