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@ARTICLE{Sofiev:276362,
      author       = {Sofiev, M. and Berger, U. and Prank, M. and Vira, J. and
                      Arteta, J. and Belmonte, J. and Bergmann, K.-C. and
                      Chéroux, F. and Elbern, H. and Friese, E. and Galan, C. and
                      Gehrig, R. and Khvorostyanov, D. and Kranenburg, R. and
                      Kumar, U. and Marécal, V. and Meleux, F. and Menut, L. and
                      Pessi, A.-M. and Robertson, L. and Ritenberga, O. and
                      Rodinkova, V. and Saarto, A. and Segers, A. and Severova, E.
                      and Sauliene, I. and Siljamo, P. and Steensen, B. M. and
                      Teinemaa, E. and Thibaudon, M. and Peuch, V.-H.},
      title        = {{MACC} regional multi-model ensemble simulations of birch
                      pollen dispersion in {E}urope},
      journal      = {Atmospheric chemistry and physics},
      volume       = {15},
      number       = {14},
      issn         = {1680-7324},
      address      = {Katlenburg-Lindau},
      publisher    = {EGU},
      reportid     = {FZJ-2015-06820},
      pages        = {8115 - 8130},
      year         = {2015},
      abstract     = {This paper presents the first ensemble modelling experiment
                      in relation to birch pollen in Europe. The seven-model
                      European ensemble of MACC-ENS, tested in trial simulations
                      over the flowering season of 2010, was run through the
                      flowering season of 2013. The simulations have been compared
                      with observations in 11 countries, all members of the
                      European Aeroallergen Network, for both individual models
                      and the ensemble mean and median. It is shown that the
                      models successfully reproduced the timing of the very late
                      season of 2013, generally within a couple of days from the
                      observed start of the season. The end of the season was
                      generally predicted later than observed, by 5 days or more,
                      which is a known feature of the source term used in the
                      study. Absolute pollen concentrations during the season were
                      somewhat underestimated in the southern part of the birch
                      habitat. In the northern part of Europe, a record-low pollen
                      season was strongly overestimated by all models. The median
                      of the multi-model ensemble demonstrated robust performance,
                      successfully eliminating the impact of outliers, which was
                      particularly useful since for most models this was the first
                      experience of pollen forecasting.},
      cin          = {IEK-8},
      ddc          = {550},
      cid          = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-8-20101013},
      pnm          = {243 - Tropospheric trace substances and their
                      transformation processes (POF3-243)},
      pid          = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-243},
      typ          = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
      UT           = {WOS:000358799000023},
      doi          = {10.5194/acp-15-8115-2015},
      url          = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/276362},
}