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@ARTICLE{AndreaniAkaoyoglu:4842,
author = {Andreani-Akaoyoglu, S. and Keller, J. and Ordonez, C. and
Tinguelya, M. and Schultz, M. and Prevot, A.S.H.},
title = {{I}nfluence of various emission scenarios on ozone in
{E}urope},
journal = {Ecological modelling},
volume = {217},
issn = {0304-3800},
address = {Amsterdam [u.a.]},
publisher = {Elsevier Science},
reportid = {PreJuSER-4842},
year = {2008},
note = {We thank MeteoSwiss, INFRAS, Meteotest, Freie Universitaet
Berlin, EMEP and IIASA for providing meteorological and
emission data. The measurement data were obtained from
BAFU/NABEL. We also acknowledge the support of the European
Network of Exellence for Atmospheric Composition Change
(ACCENT). This study was financially supported by BAFU
(Swiss Federal Office for the Environment (FOEN)).},
abstract = {In this study, we investigated the effect of numerous
regulations enforced since 1985 to improve air quality on
ozone in Europe with the focus on Switzerland, using the
Comprehensive Air Quality Model with Extensions (CAMx) for a
specific summer period. Several emission scenarios for the
year 2010 were also considered. The model results suggest
that the emission reductions of ozone precursors should have
been effective to reduce ozone production between 1985 and
2000 in northern Switzerland. However, observations do not
indicate any significant change in surface ozone levels
since early 1990s, except in the region of Zurich where
there is a small negative trend. On the other hand, the
model predictions match very well the spatial variability of
the trends but the calculated trends are around 0.5 ppb
year(-1) lower than those observed. This difference is
similar to the background ozone increase as suggested by the
long-term observations at the high Alpine station
Jungfraujoch. These results support the hypothesis that the
decrease in local ozone production due to emission
reductions might have been partly or completely compensated
by the simultaneous increase in the background ozone. In
2010, a strict application of the Gothenburg Protocol in
Europe would lead to a decrease in peak ozone concentrations
by about $5\%$ in Switzerland under the meteorological
conditions applied. our calculations also indicated that
emission controls only in Switzerland would not be very
effective to improve the air quality in the future. The
further development of the background ozone will in any case
be very important for the tropospheric ozone levels. (C)
2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.},
keywords = {J (WoSType)},
cin = {ICG-2},
ddc = {570},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)VDB791},
pnm = {Atmosphäre und Klima},
pid = {G:(DE-Juel1)FUEK406},
shelfmark = {Ecology},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
UT = {WOS:000259842900002},
doi = {10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.06.022},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/4842},
}