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@ARTICLE{Dentener:54104,
      author       = {Dentener, F. and Stevenson, D. and Ellingsen, K. and van
                      Noije, T. and Schultz, M. and Amann, M. and Atherton, C. and
                      Bell, N. and Bergmann, D. and Bey, I. and Bouwman, L. and
                      Butler, T. and Cofala, J. and Collins, B. and Drevet, J. and
                      Doherty, R. and Eickhout, B. and Eskes, H. J. and Fiore, A.
                      and Gauss, M. and Hauglustaine, D. and Horowitz, L. and
                      Isaksen, I. S. A. and Josse, B. and Lawrence, M. and Krol,
                      M. and Lamarque, J. F. and Montanaro, V. and Müller, J. F.
                      and Peuch, V. H. and Pitari, G. and Pyle, J. and Rast, S.
                      and Rodriguez, J. and Sanderson, M. and Savage, N. H. and
                      Shindell, D. and Strahan, S. and Szopa, S. and Sudo, J. and
                      van Dingenen, R. and Wild, O. and Zeng, G.},
      title        = {{T}he {G}lobal {A}tmospheric {E}nvironment for the {N}ext
                      {G}eneration},
      journal      = {Environmental Science $\&$ Technology},
      volume       = {40},
      issn         = {0013-936X},
      address      = {Columbus, Ohio},
      publisher    = {American Chemical Society},
      reportid     = {PreJuSER-54104},
      pages        = {3586 - 3594},
      year         = {2006},
      note         = {Record converted from VDB: 12.11.2012},
      abstract     = {Air quality, ecosystem exposure to nitrogen deposition, and
                      climate change are intimately coupled problems: we assess
                      changes in the global atmospheric environment between 2000
                      and 2030 using 26 state-of-the-art global atmospheric
                      chemistry models and three different emissions scenarios.
                      The first (CLE) scenario reflects implementation of current
                      air quality legislation around the world, while the second
                      (MFR) represents a more optimistic case in which all
                      currently feasible technologies are applied to achieve
                      maximum emission reductions. We contrast these scenarios
                      with the more pessimistic IPCC SRES A2 scenario. Ensemble
                      simulations for the year 2000 are consistent among models
                      and show a reasonable agreement with surface ozone, wet
                      deposition, and NO2 satellite observations. Large parts of
                      the world are currently exposed to high ozone concentrations
                      and high deposition of nitrogen to ecosystems. By 2030,
                      global surface ozone is calculated to increase globally by
                      1.5 +/- 1.2 ppb (CLE) and 4.3 +/- 2.2 ppb (A2), using the
                      ensemble mean model results and associated +/- 1 sigma
                      standard deviations. Only the progressive MFR scenario will
                      reduce ozone, by -2.3 +/- 1.1 ppb. Climate change is
                      expected to modify surface ozone by -0.8 +/- 0.6 ppb, with
                      larger decreases over sea than over land. Radiative forcing
                      by ozone increases by 63 +/- 15 and 155 +/- 37 mW m(-2) for
                      CLE and A2, respectively, and decreases by -45 +/- 15 mW
                      m(-2) for MFR. We compute that at present $10.1\%$ of the
                      global natural terrestrial ecosystems are exposed to
                      nitrogen deposition above a critical load of 1 g N m(-2)
                      yr(-1). These percentages increase by 2030 to $15.8\%$
                      (CLE), $10.5\%$ (MFR), and $25\%$ (A2). This study shows the
                      importance of enforcing current worldwide air quality
                      legislation and the major benefits of going further.
                      Nonattainment of these air quality policy objectives, such
                      as expressed by the SRES-A2 scenario, would further degrade
                      the global atmospheric environment.},
      keywords     = {J (WoSType)},
      cin          = {ICG-II},
      ddc          = {050},
      cid          = {I:(DE-Juel1)VDB48},
      pnm          = {Atmosphäre und Klima},
      pid          = {G:(DE-Juel1)FUEK406},
      shelfmark    = {Engineering, Environmental / Environmental Sciences},
      typ          = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
      UT           = {WOS:000237921200029},
      pubmed       = {pmid:16786698},
      doi          = {10.1021/es0523845},
      url          = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/54104},
}