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@ARTICLE{Heng:808971,
author = {Heng, Yi and Hoffmann, Lars and Griessbach, Sabine and
Rößler, Thomas and Stein, Olaf},
title = {{I}nverse transport modeling of volcanic sulfur dioxide
emissions using large-scale simulations},
journal = {Geoscientific model development},
volume = {9},
number = {4},
issn = {1991-9603},
address = {Katlenburg-Lindau},
publisher = {Copernicus},
reportid = {FZJ-2016-02470},
pages = {1627 - 1645},
year = {2016},
abstract = {An inverse transport modeling approach based on the
concepts of sequential importance resampling and parallel
computing is presented to reconstruct altitude-resolved time
series of volcanic emissions, which often cannot be obtained
directly with current measurement techniques. A new inverse
modeling and simulation system, which implements the
inversion approach with the Lagrangian transport model
Massive-Parallel Trajectory Calculations (MPTRAC) is
developed to provide reliable transport simulations of
volcanic sulfur dioxide (SO2). In the inverse modeling
system MPTRAC is used to perform two types of simulations,
i.e., unit simulations for the reconstruction of volcanic
emissions and final forward simulations. Both types of
transport simulations are based on wind fields of the
ERA-Interim meteorological reanalysis of the European Centre
for Medium Range Weather Forecasts. The reconstruction of
altitude-dependent SO2 emission time series is also based on
Atmospheric InfraRed Sounder (AIRS) satellite observations.
A case study for the eruption of the Nabro volcano, Eritrea,
in June 2011, with complex emission patterns, is considered
for method validation. Meteosat Visible and InfraRed Imager
(MVIRI) near-real-time imagery data are used to validate the
temporal development of the reconstructed emissions.
Furthermore, the altitude distributions of the emission time
series are compared with top and bottom altitude
measurements of aerosol layers obtained by the
Cloud–Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP)
and the Michelson Interferometer for Passive Atmospheric
Sounding (MIPAS) satellite instruments. The final forward
simulations provide detailed spatial and temporal
information on the SO2 distributions of the Nabro eruption.
By using the critical success index (CSI), the simulation
results are evaluated with the AIRS observations. Compared
to the results with an assumption of a constant flux of SO2
emissions, our inversion approach leads to an improvement of
the mean CSI value from 8.1 to $21.4 \%$ and the maximum
CSI value from 32.3 to $52.4 \%.$ The simulation results
are also compared with those reported in other studies and
good agreement is observed. Our new inverse modeling and
simulation system is expected to become a useful tool to
also study other volcanic eruption events.},
cin = {JSC / IEK-8},
ddc = {910},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)JSC-20090406 / I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-8-20101013},
pnm = {511 - Computational Science and Mathematical Methods
(POF3-511) / 243 - Tropospheric trace substances and their
transformation processes (POF3-243)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-511 / G:(DE-HGF)POF3-243},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
UT = {WOS:000376936200016},
doi = {10.5194/gmd-9-1627-2016},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/808971},
}