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@ARTICLE{Voegele:825234,
      author       = {Voegele, Stefan and Hansen, Patrick and Poganietz,
                      Witold-Roger and Prehofer, Sigrid and Weimer-Jehle,
                      Wolfgang},
      title        = {{B}uilding scenarios for energy consumption of private
                      households in {G}ermany using a multi-level cross-impact
                      balance approach},
      journal      = {Energy},
      volume       = {120},
      issn         = {0360-5442},
      address      = {Amsterdam [u.a.]},
      publisher    = {Elsevier Science},
      reportid     = {FZJ-2016-07705},
      pages        = {937–946},
      year         = {2017},
      abstract     = {A major goal concerning the energy transition in Germany is
                      the reduction of energy usage. In Germany in 2011, private
                      households consumed 2194 PJ and have been identified as a
                      sector with high energy reduction potential. The energy
                      demand of this sector is dependent on many linked
                      quantitative and qualitative factors (e.g., number of
                      persons and demographic structure, expenditures, cost of
                      energy-saving measures, willingness to invest, and level of
                      coordination in international climate policy). In our study,
                      we introduce a multilevel cross-impact approach which allows
                      for the definition and quantification of data for scenario
                      analysis while taking the interdependences between different
                      factors on the global, national and sectoral levels into
                      account. This approach makes it possible to overcome
                      limitations that conventional energy models are usually
                      confronted with. By applying a trend analysis in combination
                      with information on the interdependence of relevant factors
                      on the global and national levels, consistent sectoral views
                      of the private household's future are created.},
      cin          = {IEK-STE},
      ddc          = {600},
      cid          = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-STE-20101013},
      pnm          = {153 - Assessment of Energy Systems – Addressing Issues of
                      Energy Efficiency and Energy Security (POF3-153)},
      pid          = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-153},
      typ          = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
      UT           = {WOS:000395953000081},
      doi          = {10.1016/j.energy.2016.12.001},
      url          = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/825234},
}