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@ARTICLE{Robinius:829549,
author = {Robinius, Martin and ter Stein, Felix and Schwane, Adrien
and Stolten, Detlef},
title = {{A} {T}op-{D}own {S}patially {R}esolved {E}lectrical {L}oad
{M}odel},
journal = {Energies},
volume = {10},
number = {3},
issn = {1996-1073},
address = {Basel},
publisher = {MDPI},
reportid = {FZJ-2017-03234},
pages = {361 -},
year = {2017},
abstract = {The increasing deployment of variable renewable energy
sources (VRES) is changing the source regime in the
electrical energy sector. However, VRES feed-in from wind
turbines and photovoltaic systems is dependent on the
weather and only partially predictable. As a result,
existing energy sector models must be re-evaluated and
adjusted as necessary. In long-term forecast models, the
expansion of VRES must be taken into account so that future
local overloads can be identified and measures taken. This
paper focuses on one input factor for electrical energy
models: the electrical load. We compare two different types
to describe this, namely vertical grid load and total load.
For the total load, an approach for a spatially-resolved
electrical load model is developed and applied at the
municipal level in Germany. This model provides detailed
information about the load at a quarterly-hour resolution
across 11,268 German municipalities. In municipalities with
concentrations of energy-intensive industry, high loads are
expected, which our simulation reproduces with a good degree
of accuracy. Our results also show that municipalities with
energy-intensive industry have a higher simulated electric
load than neighboring municipalities that do not host
energy-intensive industries. The underlying data was
extracted from publically accessible sources and therefore
the methodology introduced is also applicable to other
countries},
cin = {IEK-3},
ddc = {620},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-3-20101013},
pnm = {134 - Electrolysis and Hydrogen (POF3-134)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-134},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
UT = {WOS:000398736700101},
doi = {10.3390/en10030361},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/829549},
}