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@ARTICLE{Kemp:830233,
      author       = {Kemp, R. and Lux, H. and Kovari, M. and Morris, J. and
                      Wenninger, R. and Zohm, H. and Biel, W. and Federici, G.},
      title        = {{D}ealing with uncertainties in fusion power plant
                      conceptual development},
      journal      = {Nuclear fusion},
      volume       = {57},
      number       = {4},
      issn         = {1741-4326},
      address      = {Vienna},
      publisher    = {IAEA},
      reportid     = {FZJ-2017-03806},
      pages        = {046024 -},
      year         = {2017},
      abstract     = {Although the ultimate goal of most current fusion research
                      is to build an economically attractive power plant, the
                      present status of physics and technology does not provide
                      the performance necessary to achieve this goal. Therefore,
                      in order to model how such plants may operate and what their
                      output might be, extrapolations must be made from existing
                      experimental data and technology. However, the expected
                      performance of a plant built to the operating point
                      specifications can only ever be a 'best guess'.
                      Extrapolations far beyond the current operating regimes are
                      necessarily uncertain, and some important interactions, for
                      example the coupling of conducted power from the scape-off
                      layer to the divertor surface, lack reliable predictive
                      models. This means both that the demands on plant systems at
                      the target operating point can vary significantly from the
                      nominal value, and that the overall plant performance may
                      potentially fall short of design targets.In this
                      contribution we discuss tools and techniques that have been
                      developed to assess the robustness of the operating points
                      for the EU-DEMO tokamak-based demonstration power plant, and
                      the consequences for its design. The aim is to make explicit
                      the design choices and areas where improved modelling and
                      DEMO-relevant experiments will have the greatest impact on
                      confidence in a successful DEMO design},
      cin          = {IEK-4},
      ddc          = {530},
      cid          = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-4-20101013},
      pnm          = {174 - Plasma-Wall-Interaction (POF3-174)},
      pid          = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-174},
      typ          = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
      UT           = {WOS:000405944300011},
      doi          = {10.1088/1741-4326/aa5e2c},
      url          = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/830233},
}