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@PHDTHESIS{Schrder:838011,
author = {Schröder, Benjamin},
title = {{M}ultivariate {M}ethods for {L}ife {S}afety {A}nalysis in
{C}ase of {F}ire},
volume = {34},
school = {Bergische Universität Wuppertal},
type = {Dr.},
address = {Jülich},
publisher = {Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH Zentralbibliothek, Verlag},
reportid = {FZJ-2017-06759},
isbn = {978-3-95806-254-2},
series = {Schriften des Forschungszentrums Jülich. IAS Series},
pages = {222 S.},
year = {2017},
note = {Bergische Universität Wuppertal, Diss., 2017},
abstract = {The assessment of life safety in case of a building re is
based on thecomparison of the available safe egress time
($\textit{ASET}$) and the required safe egress time
($\textit{RSET}$). With regards to simulation experiments,
this straightforward approach is accompanied by
uncertainties including the underlying models, the
specification of inputs, and the analysis of outputs.
Concerning the two latter aspects, this thesis introduces
methodological extensions in order to conduct
$\textit{ASET-RSET}$ analyses in a multivariate fashion. For
the specification of inputs, the multitude of possible
scenarios is represented with the help of systematic
sampling techniques. Uncertainties in terms of analysis are
tackled with multi-criterial maps rendering both
$\textit{ASET}$ and $\textit{RSET}$ in spacious
environments. The subtraction of both maps is used to
determine a measure of consequences. These methods are
applied to a multi-level underground station which is
investigated with numerical simulations based on the
formation of two subsystems, namely $\textit{Fire}$ and
$\textit{Evacuation}$. The analysis incorporates an ensemble
of 8,640 combined fire scenarios and evacuation scenarios.
Throughout the entire design space, more than 95 \% of the
scenario combinations account for less than half of the
maximal observed consequences. This analysis is refined by
agglomerative clustering in order to group all observations
hierarchically. It becomes evident that the lowest margins
of consequences are represented by two clusters covering
approximately 75 \% of all observations. The investigation
of the parametric relations of all clusters allows for the
systematic identification of the determining characteristics
of fire and evacuation scenarios. In addition to the
consequence measure derived from $\textit{ASET-RSET}$,
fractional effective doses ($\textit{FED}$) are calculated
to supplement the analysis. Within the clusters, the number
of occupants exceeding common $\textit{FED}$ thresholds
applicable to incapacitation corresponds to the introduced
$\textit{ASET-RSET}$ measure. However, throughout the entire
design space, this correspondence is not clear and needs
further investigation.},
cin = {JSC},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)JSC-20090406},
pnm = {511 - Computational Science and Mathematical Methods
(POF3-511)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-511},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)3 / PUB:(DE-HGF)11},
urn = {urn:nbn:de:0001-2017081810},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/838011},
}