000849932 001__ 849932 000849932 005__ 20210129234345.0 000849932 0247_ $$2doi$$a10.1038/s41467-018-04287-5 000849932 0247_ $$2Handle$$a2128/19617 000849932 0247_ $$2pmid$$apmid:29773793 000849932 0247_ $$2WOS$$aWOS:000432346200009 000849932 0247_ $$2altmetric$$aaltmetric:41813560 000849932 037__ $$aFZJ-2018-04027 000849932 082__ $$a500 000849932 1001_ $$00000-0003-1607-9748$$aSchäfer, Benjamin$$b0$$eCorresponding author 000849932 245__ $$aDynamically induced cascading failures in power grids 000849932 260__ $$aLondon$$bNature Publishing Group$$c2018 000849932 3367_ $$2DRIVER$$aarticle 000849932 3367_ $$2DataCite$$aOutput Types/Journal article 000849932 3367_ $$0PUB:(DE-HGF)16$$2PUB:(DE-HGF)$$aJournal Article$$bjournal$$mjournal$$s1536146437_460 000849932 3367_ $$2BibTeX$$aARTICLE 000849932 3367_ $$2ORCID$$aJOURNAL_ARTICLE 000849932 3367_ $$00$$2EndNote$$aJournal Article 000849932 520__ $$aReliable functioning of infrastructure networks is essential for our modern society. Cascading failures are the cause of most large-scale network outages. Although cascading failures often exhibit dynamical transients, the modeling of cascades has so far mainly focused on the analysis of sequences of steady states. In this article, we focus on electrical transmission networks and introduce a framework that takes into account both the event-based nature of cascades and the essentials of the network dynamics. We find that transients of the order of seconds in the flows of a power grid play a crucial role in the emergence of collective behaviors. We finally propose a forecasting method to identify critical lines and components in advance or during operation. Overall, our work highlights the relevance of dynamically induced failures on the synchronization dynamics of national power grids of different European countries and provides methods to predict and model cascading failures. 000849932 536__ $$0G:(DE-HGF)POF3-153$$a153 - Assessment of Energy Systems – Addressing Issues of Energy Efficiency and Energy Security (POF3-153)$$cPOF3-153$$fPOF III$$x0 000849932 536__ $$0G:(HGF)VH-NG-1025_20112014$$aVH-NG-1025 - Helmholtz Young Investigators Group "Efficiency, Emergence and Economics of future supply networks" (VH-NG-1025_20112014)$$cVH-NG-1025_20112014$$x1 000849932 536__ $$0G:(Grant)PIK_082017$$aCoNDyNet - Kollektive Nichtlineare Dynamik Komplexer Stromnetze (PIK_082017)$$cPIK_082017$$x2 000849932 588__ $$aDataset connected to CrossRef 000849932 7001_ $$0P:(DE-Juel1)162277$$aWitthaut, Dirk$$b1 000849932 7001_ $$0P:(DE-HGF)0$$aTimme, Marc$$b2 000849932 7001_ $$00000-0002-0984-8038$$aLatora, Vito$$b3 000849932 773__ $$0PERI:(DE-600)2553671-0$$a10.1038/s41467-018-04287-5$$gVol. 9, no. 1, p. 1975$$n1$$p1975$$tNature Communications$$v9$$x2041-1723$$y2018 000849932 8564_ $$uhttps://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/849932/files/Schaefer_NatComm9_1975.pdf$$yOpenAccess 000849932 8564_ $$uhttps://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/849932/files/Schaefer_NatComm9_1975.gif?subformat=icon$$xicon$$yOpenAccess 000849932 8564_ $$uhttps://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/849932/files/Schaefer_NatComm9_1975.jpg?subformat=icon-1440$$xicon-1440$$yOpenAccess 000849932 8564_ $$uhttps://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/849932/files/Schaefer_NatComm9_1975.jpg?subformat=icon-180$$xicon-180$$yOpenAccess 000849932 8564_ $$uhttps://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/849932/files/Schaefer_NatComm9_1975.jpg?subformat=icon-640$$xicon-640$$yOpenAccess 000849932 909CO $$ooai:juser.fz-juelich.de:849932$$pdnbdelivery$$pdriver$$pVDB$$popen_access$$popenaire 000849932 9101_ $$0I:(DE-588b)5008462-8$$6P:(DE-Juel1)162277$$aForschungszentrum Jülich$$b1$$kFZJ 000849932 9131_ $$0G:(DE-HGF)POF3-153$$1G:(DE-HGF)POF3-150$$2G:(DE-HGF)POF3-100$$3G:(DE-HGF)POF3$$4G:(DE-HGF)POF$$aDE-HGF$$bEnergie$$lTechnologie, Innovation und Gesellschaft$$vAssessment of Energy Systems – Addressing Issues of Energy Efficiency and Energy Security$$x0 000849932 9141_ $$y2018 000849932 915__ $$0StatID:(DE-HGF)0200$$2StatID$$aDBCoverage$$bSCOPUS 000849932 915__ $$0StatID:(DE-HGF)1030$$2StatID$$aDBCoverage$$bCurrent Contents - Life Sciences 000849932 915__ $$0LIC:(DE-HGF)CCBY4$$2HGFVOC$$aCreative Commons Attribution CC BY 4.0 000849932 915__ $$0StatID:(DE-HGF)1040$$2StatID$$aDBCoverage$$bZoological Record 000849932 915__ $$0StatID:(DE-HGF)0100$$2StatID$$aJCR$$bNAT COMMUN : 2015 000849932 915__ $$0StatID:(DE-HGF)9910$$2StatID$$aIF >= 10$$bNAT COMMUN : 2015 000849932 915__ $$0StatID:(DE-HGF)0501$$2StatID$$aDBCoverage$$bDOAJ Seal 000849932 915__ $$0StatID:(DE-HGF)0500$$2StatID$$aDBCoverage$$bDOAJ 000849932 915__ $$0StatID:(DE-HGF)0110$$2StatID$$aWoS$$bScience Citation Index 000849932 915__ $$0StatID:(DE-HGF)0111$$2StatID$$aWoS$$bScience Citation Index Expanded 000849932 915__ $$0StatID:(DE-HGF)0150$$2StatID$$aDBCoverage$$bWeb of Science Core Collection 000849932 915__ $$0StatID:(DE-HGF)0510$$2StatID$$aOpenAccess 000849932 915__ $$0StatID:(DE-HGF)1060$$2StatID$$aDBCoverage$$bCurrent Contents - Agriculture, Biology and Environmental Sciences 000849932 915__ $$0StatID:(DE-HGF)0310$$2StatID$$aDBCoverage$$bNCBI Molecular Biology Database 000849932 915__ $$0StatID:(DE-HGF)1050$$2StatID$$aDBCoverage$$bBIOSIS Previews 000849932 915__ $$0StatID:(DE-HGF)0300$$2StatID$$aDBCoverage$$bMedline 000849932 915__ $$0StatID:(DE-HGF)1150$$2StatID$$aDBCoverage$$bCurrent Contents - Physical, Chemical and Earth Sciences 000849932 915__ $$0StatID:(DE-HGF)0199$$2StatID$$aDBCoverage$$bThomson Reuters Master Journal List 000849932 9201_ $$0I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-STE-20101013$$kIEK-STE$$lSystemforschung und Technologische Entwicklung$$x0 000849932 980__ $$ajournal 000849932 980__ $$aVDB 000849932 980__ $$aUNRESTRICTED 000849932 980__ $$aI:(DE-Juel1)IEK-STE-20101013 000849932 9801_ $$aFullTexts