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@ARTICLE{Holmberg:851424,
author = {Holmberg, Maria and Aherne, Julian and Austnes, Kari and
Beloica, Jelena and De Marco, Alessandra and Dirnböck,
Thomas and Fornasier, Maria Francesca and Görgen, Klaus and
Futter, Martyn and Lindroos, Antti-Jussi and Krám, Pavel
and Neirynck, Johan and Nieminen, Tiina Maileena and Pecka,
Tomasz and Posch, Maximilian and Pröll, Gisela and Rowe, Ed
C. and Scheuschner, Thomas and Schlutow, Angela and Valinia,
Salar and Forsius, Martin},
title = {{M}odelling study of soil {C}, {N} and p{H} response to air
pollution and climate change using {E}uropean {LTER} site
observations},
journal = {The science of the total environment},
volume = {640-641},
issn = {0048-9697},
address = {Amsterdam [u.a.]},
publisher = {Elsevier Science},
reportid = {FZJ-2018-05071},
pages = {387 - 399},
year = {2018},
abstract = {Current climate warming is expected to continue in coming
decades, whereas high N deposition may stabilize, in
contrast to the clear decrease in S deposition. These
pressures have distinctive regional patterns and their
resulting impact on soil conditions is modified by local
site characteristics. We have applied the VSD+ soil dynamic
model to study impacts of deposition and climate change on
soil properties, using MetHyd and GrowUp as pre-processors
to provide input to VSD+. The single-layer soil model VSD+
accounts for processes of organic C and N turnover, as well
as charge and mass balances of elements, cation exchange and
base cation weathering. We calibrated VSD+ at 26 ecosystem
study sites throughout Europe using observed conditions, and
simulated key soil properties: soil solution pH (pH), soil
base saturation (BS) and soil organic carbon and nitrogen
ratio (C:N) under projected deposition of N and S, and
climate warming until 2100. The sites are forested, located
in the Mediterranean, forested alpine, Atlantic, continental
and boreal regions. They represent the long-term ecological
research (LTER) Europe network, including sites of the ICP
Forests and ICP Integrated Monitoring (IM) programmes under
the UNECE Convention on Long-range Transboundary Air
Pollution (LRTAP), providing high quality long-term data on
ecosystem response. Simulated future soil conditions
improved under projected decrease in deposition and current
climate conditions: higher pH, BS and C:N at 21, 16 and 12
of the sites, respectively. When climate change was included
in the scenario analysis, the variability of the results
increased. Climate warming resulted in higher simulated pH
in most cases, and higher BS and C:N in roughly half of the
cases. Especially the increase in C:N was more marked with
climate warming. The study illustrates the value of LTER
sites for applying models to predict soil responses to
multiple environmental changes.},
cin = {IBG-3},
ddc = {333.7},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IBG-3-20101118},
pnm = {255 - Terrestrial Systems: From Observation to Prediction
(POF3-255) / eLTER - European Long-Term Ecosystem and
socio-ecological Research Infrastructure (654359)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-255 / G:(EU-Grant)654359},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
pubmed = {pmid:29860010},
UT = {WOS:000438408800040},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.05.299},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/851424},
}