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@ARTICLE{Coppola:857242,
      author       = {Coppola, Erika and Sobolowski, Stefan and Pichelli, E. and
                      Raffaele, F. and Ahrens, B. and Anders, I. and Ban, N. and
                      Bastin, S. and Belda, M. and Belusic, D. and Caldas-Alvarez,
                      A. and Cardoso, R. M. and Davolio, S. and Dobler, A. and
                      Fernandez, J. and Fita, L. and Fumiere, Q. and Giorgi, F.
                      and Görgen, Klaus and Güttler, I. and Halenka, T. and
                      Heinzeller, D. and Hodnebrog, Ø. and Jacob, D. and
                      Kartsios, S. and Katragkou, E. and Kendon, E. and Khodayar,
                      S. and Kunstmann, H. and Knist, S. and Lavín-Gullón, A.
                      and Lind, P. and Lorenz, T. and Maraun, D. and Marelle, L.
                      and van Meijgaard, E. and Milovac, J. and Myhre, G. and
                      Panitz, H.-J. and Piazza, M. and Raffa, M. and Raub, T. and
                      Rockel, B. and Schär, C. and Sieck, K. and Soares, P. M. M.
                      and Somot, S. and Srnec, L. and Stocchi, P. and Tölle, M.
                      H. and Truhetz, H. and Vautard, R. and de Vries, H. and
                      Warrach-Sagi, K.},
      title        = {{A} first-of-its-kind multi-model convection permitting
                      ensemble for investigating convective phenomena over
                      {E}urope and the {M}editerranean},
      journal      = {Climate dynamics},
      volume       = {55},
      issn         = {1432-0894},
      address      = {Heidelberg},
      publisher    = {Springer},
      reportid     = {FZJ-2018-06472},
      pages        = {3-34},
      year         = {2020},
      abstract     = {A recently launched project under the auspices of the World
                      Climate Research Program’s (WCRP) Coordinated Regional
                      Downscaling Experiments Flagship Pilot Studies program
                      (CORDEX-FPS) is presented. This initiative aims to build
                      first-of-its-kind ensemble climate experiments of convection
                      permitting models to investigate present and future
                      convective processes and related extremes over Europe and
                      the Mediterranean. In this manuscript the rationale,
                      scientific aims and approaches are presented along with some
                      preliminary results from the testing phase of the project.
                      Three test cases were selected in order to obtain a first
                      look at the ensemble performance. The test cases covered a
                      summertime extreme precipitation event over Austria, a fall
                      Foehn event over the Swiss Alps and an intensively
                      documented fall event along the Mediterranean coast. The
                      test cases were run in both “weather-like” (WL,
                      initialized just before the event in question) and
                      “climate” (CM, initialized 1 month before the event)
                      modes. Ensembles of 18–21 members, representing six
                      different modeling systems with different physics and
                      modelling chain options, was generated for the test cases
                      (27 modeling teams have committed to perform the longer
                      climate simulations). Results indicate that, when run in WL
                      mode, the ensemble captures all three events quite well with
                      ensemble correlation skill scores of 0.67, 0.82 and 0.91.
                      They suggest that the more the event is driven by
                      large-scale conditions, the closer the agreement between the
                      ensemble members. Even in climate mode the large-scale
                      driven events over the Swiss Alps and the Mediterranean
                      coasts are still captured (ensemble correlation skill scores
                      of 0.90 and 0.62, respectively), but the inter-model spread
                      increases as expected. In the case over Mediterranean the
                      effects of local-scale interactions between flow and
                      orography and land–ocean contrasts are readily apparent.
                      However, there is a much larger, though not surprising,
                      increase in the spread for the Austrian event, which was
                      weakly forced by the large-scale flow. Though the ensemble
                      correlation skill score is still quite high (0.80). The
                      preliminary results illustrate both the promise and the
                      challenges that convection permitting modeling faces and
                      make a strong argument for an ensemble-based approach to
                      investigating high impact convective processes.},
      cin          = {IBG-3 / JARA-HPC},
      ddc          = {550},
      cid          = {I:(DE-Juel1)IBG-3-20101118 / $I:(DE-82)080012_20140620$},
      pnm          = {255 - Terrestrial Systems: From Observation to Prediction
                      (POF3-255) / Convection-permitting regional climate
                      modelling: Contribution to WCRP CORDEX Flagship Pilot Study
                      ensemble over Europe and joint analysis of water cycle
                      processes and properties $(jjsc39_20180501)$ /
                      Convection-permitting climate modelling on global and
                      regional scales in the WCRP/CORDEX FPS $(hka19_20170501)$},
      pid          = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-255 / $G:(DE-Juel1)jjsc39_20180501$ /
                      $G:(DE-Juel1)hka19_20170501$},
      typ          = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
      UT           = {WOS:000543522300002},
      doi          = {10.1007/s00382-018-4521-8},
      url          = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/857242},
}