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@ARTICLE{Tbben:859330,
author = {Többen, Johannes and Schröder, Thomas},
title = {{A} maximum entropy approach to the estimation of spatially
and sectorally disaggregated electricity load curves},
journal = {Applied energy},
volume = {225},
issn = {0306-2619},
address = {Amsterdam [u.a.]},
publisher = {Elsevier Science},
reportid = {FZJ-2019-00198},
pages = {797 - 813},
year = {2018},
abstract = {Usually, disaggregated electricity load curves are
estimated by using Top-Down or Bottom-Up approaches. The
former requires estimating weightings for downscaling
aggregated information, while the latter requires
extrapolating micro-level information. In both cases,
estimation would ideally be based on as much regional and
sector specific information as possible, in order to obtain
a realistic representation of the magnitude and temporal
pattern of a regional sector’s electricity consumption.
Typically, such attempts are significantly hampered by
issues of limited and possibly inconsistent data, differing
levels of detail, and mismatching data classifications.This
paper proposes a novel nonlinear programming model based on
the maximum entropy approach. The model allows for
electricity load curve estimation at arbitrary spatial,
sectoral and temporal resolution, from partial and possibly
inconsistent information. The proposed model integrates and
systematically utilizes data usually used by either Top-Down
or Bottom-Up approaches. In a case study using German data
it is shown that the model combines the strength of both
and, at the same time, overcomes the challenges specific to
Top-Down or Bottom-up estimation.},
cin = {IEK-STE},
ddc = {620},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-STE-20101013},
pnm = {153 - Assessment of Energy Systems – Addressing Issues of
Energy Efficiency and Energy Security (POF3-153)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-153},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
UT = {WOS:000438181000059},
doi = {10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.04.126},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/859330},
}