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@ARTICLE{Wohland:861182,
author = {Wohland, Jan and Omrani, Nour-Eddine and Witthaut, Dirk and
Keenlyside, Noel S.},
title = {{I}nconsistent wind speed trends in current twentieth
century reanalyses},
journal = {Journal of geophysical research / D Atmospheres D},
volume = {124},
number = {4},
issn = {2169-897X},
address = {Hoboken, NJ},
publisher = {Wiley},
reportid = {FZJ-2019-01725},
pages = {1931-1940},
year = {2019},
abstract = {Reanalysis data underpin much research in atmospheric and
related sciences. While most reanalysis only cover the last
couple of decades, National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (20CR) and European Centre for Medium‐Range
Weather Forecasts (ERA20C and CERA20C) also developed
reanalyses for the entire twentieth century that
theoretically allow investigation of multidecadal
variability. However, the approaches adopted to handle the
massively evolving number of observations can cause spurious
signals. Here we focus on wind speeds, as its assimilation
is a key difference among these two products. We show that
ERA20C and CERA20C feature significant trends in the North
Atlantic and North Pacific wind speeds of up to 3 m/s per
century. We show that there is a good relation between the
trends in the reanalysis and assimilated wind speeds. In
contrast, 20CR and the European Centre for Medium‐Range
Weather Forecasts free model run ERA20CM do not show
positive trends in the same regions. As a consequence,
conclusions drawn from any single twentieth century
reanalysis should be treated cautiously in particular in
sectors with a strong wind dependency (e.g., wind energy).},
cin = {IEK-STE},
ddc = {550},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-STE-20101013},
pnm = {153 - Assessment of Energy Systems – Addressing Issues of
Energy Efficiency and Energy Security (POF3-153)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-153},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
UT = {WOS:000461856300003},
doi = {10.1029/2018JD030083},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/861182},
}