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@ARTICLE{Ryberg:864091,
author = {Ryberg, David Severin and Caglayan, Dilara Gulcin and
Schmitt, Sabrina and Linßen, Jochen and Stolten, Detlef and
Robinius, Martin},
title = {{T}he future of {E}uropean onshore wind energy potential:
{D}etailed distribution and simulation of advanced turbine
designs},
journal = {Energy},
volume = {182},
issn = {0360-5442},
address = {Amsterdam [u.a.]},
publisher = {Elsevier Science},
reportid = {FZJ-2019-03996},
pages = {1222 - 1238},
year = {2019},
abstract = {Considering the need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions,
onshore wind energy is certain to play a major role in
future energy systems. This topic has received significant
attention from the research community, producing many
estimations of Europe's onshore wind potential for capacity
and generation. Despite this focus, previous estimates
appear to have underpredicted both the amount of available
future wind capacity as well as its performance. Foremost in
this regard is the common use of contemporary, or at least
near-future, turbine designs which are not fitting for a
far-future context. In response to this, an improved,
transparent, and fully reproducible work flow is presented
here, and applied to determine a future-oriented onshore
wind energy potential for Europe. Within a scenario of
turbine cost and design in 2050, 13.4 TW of capacity is
found to be available, allowing for 34.3 PWh of average
generation per year. By sorting the explicitly-placed
potential installation locations by their expected
generation cost, national relationships between cost and
performance versus installed capacity are found, and it is
also seen that all countries possess some potential for
onshore wind energy generation below 4 €. Furthermore, it
is unlikely for these costs to exceed 6 € in any future
capacity scenario.},
cin = {IEK-3},
ddc = {600},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-3-20101013},
pnm = {134 - Electrolysis and Hydrogen (POF3-134) / ES2050 -
Energie Sytem 2050 (ES2050)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-134 / G:(DE-HGF)ES2050},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
UT = {WOS:000479021700092},
doi = {10.1016/j.energy.2019.06.052},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/864091},
}