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@ARTICLE{Junk:866272,
      author       = {Junk, Jürgen and Goergen, Klaus and Krein, Andreas},
      title        = {{F}uture {H}eat {W}aves in {D}ifferent {E}uropean
                      {C}apitals {B}ased on {C}limate {C}hange {I}ndicators},
      journal      = {International journal of environmental research and public
                      health},
      volume       = {16},
      number       = {20},
      issn         = {1660-4601},
      address      = {Basel},
      publisher    = {MDPI AG},
      reportid     = {FZJ-2019-05431},
      pages        = {3959},
      year         = {2019},
      abstract     = {Changes in the frequency and intensity of heat waves have
                      shown substantial negative impacts on public health. At the
                      same time, climate change towards increasing air
                      temperatures throughout Europe will foster such extreme
                      events, leading to the population being more exposed to them
                      and societies becoming more vulnerable. Based on two climate
                      change scenarios (Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5
                      and 8.5) we analysed the frequency and intensity of heat
                      waves for three capital cities in Europe representing a
                      North–South transect (London, Luxembourg, Rome). We used
                      indices proposed by the Expert Team on Sector-Specific
                      Climate Indices of the World Meteorological Organization to
                      analyze the number of heat waves, the number of days that
                      contribute to heat waves, the length of the longest heat
                      waves, as well as the mean temperature during heat waves.
                      The threshold for the definition of heat waves is calculated
                      based on a reference period of 30 years for each of the
                      three cities, allowing for a direct comparison of the
                      projected changes between the cities. Changes in the
                      projected air temperature between a reference period
                      (1971–2000) and three future periods (2001–2030 near
                      future, 2031–2060 middle future, and 2061–2090 far
                      future) are statistically significant for all three cities
                      and both emission scenarios. Considerable similarities could
                      be identified for the different heat wave indices. This
                      directly affects the risk of the exposed population and
                      might also negatively influence food security and water
                      supply.},
      cin          = {IBG-3},
      ddc          = {610},
      cid          = {I:(DE-Juel1)IBG-3-20101118},
      pnm          = {255 - Terrestrial Systems: From Observation to Prediction
                      (POF3-255)},
      pid          = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-255},
      typ          = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
      pubmed       = {pmid:31627393},
      UT           = {WOS:000494779100173},
      doi          = {10.3390/ijerph16203959},
      url          = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/866272},
}