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@ARTICLE{Stockinger:866434,
author = {Stockinger, Michael Paul and Bogena, Heye and Lücke,
Andreas and Stumpp, Christine and Vereecken, Harry},
title = {{T}ime variability and uncertainty in the fraction of young
water in a small headwater catchment},
journal = {Hydrology and earth system sciences},
volume = {23},
number = {10},
issn = {1607-7938},
address = {Katlenburg-Lindau},
publisher = {EGU},
reportid = {FZJ-2019-05575},
pages = {4333 - 4347},
year = {2019},
abstract = {The time precipitation needs to travel through a catchment
to its outlet is an important descriptor of a catchment's
susceptibility to pollutant contamination, nutrient loss,
and hydrological functioning. The fast component of total
water flow can be estimated by the fraction of young water
(Fyw), which is the percentage of streamflow younger than 3
months. Fyw is calculated by comparing the amplitudes of
sine waves fitted to seasonal precipitation and streamflow
tracer signals. This is usually done for the complete tracer
time series available, neglecting annual differences in the
amplitudes of longer time series. Considering inter-annual
amplitude differences, we employed a moving time window of 1
year in weekly time steps over a 4.5-year δ18O tracer time
series to calculate 189 Fyw estimates and their uncertainty.
They were then tested against the following null hypotheses:
(1) at least $90 \%$ of Fyw results do not deviate more
than ±0.04 $(4 \%)$ from the mean of all Fyw results,
indicating long-term invariance. Larger deviations would
indicate changes in the relative contribution of different
flow paths; (2) for any 4-week window, Fyw does not change
more than ±0.04, indicating short-term invariance. Larger
deviations would indicate a high sensitivity of Fyw to a
1-week to 4-week shift in the start of a 1-year sampling
campaign; (3) the Fyw results of 1-year sampling campaigns
started in a given calendar month do not change more than
±0.04, indicating seasonal invariance. In our study, all
three null hypotheses were rejected. Thus, the Fyw results
were time-variable, showed variability in the chosen
sampling time, and had no pronounced seasonality. We
furthermore found evidence that the 2015 European heat wave
and including two winters into a 1-year sampling campaign
increased the uncertainty of Fyw. Based on an increase in
Fyw uncertainty when the mean adjusted R2 was below 0.2, we
recommend further investigations into the dependence of Fyw
and its uncertainty to goodness-of-fit measures.
Furthermore, while investigated individual meteorological
factors did not sufficiently explain variations of Fyw, the
runoff coefficient showed a moderate negative correlation of
r=−0.50 with Fyw. The results of this study suggest that
care must be taken when comparing Fyw of catchments that
were based on different calculation periods and that the
influence of extreme events and snow must be considered.},
cin = {IBG-3},
ddc = {550},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IBG-3-20101118},
pnm = {255 - Terrestrial Systems: From Observation to Prediction
(POF3-255)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-255},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
UT = {WOS:000492837100003},
doi = {10.5194/hess-23-4333-2019},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/866434},
}