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@ARTICLE{Weber:872567,
author = {Weber, Juliane and Reyers, Mark and Beck, Christian and
Timme, Marc and Pinto, Joaquim G. and Witthaut, Dirk and
Schäfer, Benjamin},
title = {{W}ind power persistence characterized by superstatistics},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {9},
number = {1},
issn = {2045-2322},
address = {[London]},
publisher = {Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature},
reportid = {FZJ-2020-00073},
pages = {19971},
year = {2019},
abstract = {Mitigating climate change demands a transition towards
renewable electricity generation, with wind power being a
particularly promising technology. Long periods either of
high or of low wind therefore essentially define the
necessary amount of storage to balance the power system.
While the general statistics of wind velocities have been
studied extensively, persistence (waiting) time statistics
of wind is far from well understood. Here, we investigate
the statistics of both high- and low-wind persistence. We
find heavy tails and explain them as a superposition of
different wind conditions, requiring q-exponential
distributions instead of exponential distributions.
Persistent wind conditions are not necessarily caused by
stationary atmospheric circulation patterns nor by recurring
individual weather types but may emerge as a combination of
multiple weather types and circulation patterns. This also
leads to Fréchet instead of Gumbel extreme value
statistics. Understanding wind persistence statistically and
synoptically may help to ensure a reliable and economically
feasible future energy system, which uses a high share of
wind generation.},
cin = {IEK-STE},
ddc = {600},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-STE-20101013},
pnm = {153 - Assessment of Energy Systems – Addressing Issues of
Energy Efficiency and Energy Security (POF3-153) / CoNDyNet
- Kollektive Nichtlineare Dynamik Komplexer Stromnetze
$(PIK_082017)$ / CoNDyNet 2 - Kollektive Nichtlineare
Dynamik Komplexer Stromnetze (BMBF-03EK3055B) / VH-NG-1025 -
Helmholtz Young Investigators Group "Efficiency, Emergence
and Economics of future supply networks"
$(VH-NG-1025_20112014)$},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-153 / $G:(Grant)PIK_082017$ /
G:(DE-JUEL1)BMBF-03EK3055B / $G:(HGF)VH-NG-1025_20112014$},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
pubmed = {pmid:31882778},
UT = {WOS:000509310400001},
doi = {10.1038/s41598-019-56286-1},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/872567},
}