% IMPORTANT: The following is UTF-8 encoded. This means that in the presence
% of non-ASCII characters, it will not work with BibTeX 0.99 or older.
% Instead, you should use an up-to-date BibTeX implementation like “bibtex8” or
% “biber”.
@ARTICLE{WeimerJehle:874651,
author = {Weimer-Jehle, Wolfgang and Vögele, Stefan and Hauser,
Wolfgang and Kosow, Hannah and Poganietz, Witold-Roger and
Prehofer, Sigrid},
title = {{S}ocio-technical energy scenarios: {S}tate-of-the-art and
{CIB}-based approaches},
journal = {Climatic change},
volume = {162},
issn = {1573-1480},
address = {Dordrecht [u.a.]},
publisher = {Springer Science + Business Media B.V},
reportid = {FZJ-2020-01569},
pages = {1723–1741},
year = {2020},
abstract = {Energy conversion is a major source of greenhouse gas (GHG)
emissions, and energy transition scenarios are a key tool
for gaining a greater understanding of the possible pathways
toward climate protection. There is consensus in energy
research that political and societal framework conditions
will play a pivotal role in shaping energy transitions. In
energy scenario construction, this perspective is
increasingly acknowledged through the approach of informing
model-based energy analysis with storylines about societal
futures, an exercise we call “socio-technical energy
scenario construction” in this article. However, there is
a dispute about how to construct the storylines in a
traceable, consistent, comprehensive, and reproducible way.
This study aims to support energy researchers considering
the use of the concept of socio-technical scenarios in two
ways: first, we provide a state-of-the-art analysis of
socio-technical energy scenario construction by comparing 16
studies with respect to five categories. Second, we address
the dispute regarding storyline construction in energy
research and examine 13 reports using the Cross-Impact
Balances method. We collated researcher statements on the
strengths and challenges of this method and identified seven
categories of promises and challenges each},
cin = {IEK-STE},
ddc = {550},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-STE-20101013},
pnm = {153 - Assessment of Energy Systems – Addressing Issues of
Energy Efficiency and Energy Security (POF3-153)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-153},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
UT = {WOS:000517689500002},
doi = {10.1007/s10584-020-02680-y},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/874651},
}