% IMPORTANT: The following is UTF-8 encoded.  This means that in the presence
% of non-ASCII characters, it will not work with BibTeX 0.99 or older.
% Instead, you should use an up-to-date BibTeX implementation like “bibtex8” or
% “biber”.

@ARTICLE{Huang:887682,
      author       = {Huang, Shaochun and Shah, Harsh and Naz, Bibi S. and
                      Shrestha, Narayan and Mishra, Vimal and Daggupati, Prasad
                      and Ghimire, Uttam and Vetter, Tobias},
      title        = {{I}mpacts of hydrological model calibration on projected
                      hydrological changes under climate change—a multi-model
                      assessment in three large river basins},
      journal      = {Climatic change},
      volume       = {163},
      issn         = {1573-1480},
      address      = {Dordrecht [u.a.]},
      publisher    = {Springer Science + Business Media B.V},
      reportid     = {FZJ-2020-04343},
      pages        = {1143–1164},
      year         = {2020},
      abstract     = {This study aimed to investigate the influence of
                      hydrological model calibration/validation on discharge
                      projections for three large river basins (the Rhine, Upper
                      Mississippi and Upper Yellow). Three hydrological models
                      (HMs), which have been firstly calibrated against the
                      monthly discharge at the outlet of each basin (simple
                      calibration), were re-calibrated against the daily discharge
                      at the outlet and intermediate gauges under contrast climate
                      conditions simultaneously (enhanced calibration). In
                      addition, the models were validated in terms of hydrological
                      indicators of interest (median, low and high flows) as well
                      as actual evapotranspiration in the historical period. The
                      models calibrated using both calibration methods were then
                      driven by the same bias corrected climate projections from
                      five global circulation models (GCMs) under four
                      Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios (RCPs). The
                      hydrological changes of the indicators were represented by
                      the ensemble median, ensemble mean and ensemble weighted
                      means of all combinations of HMs and GCMs under each RCP.
                      The results showed moderate $(5–10\%)$ to strong influence
                      $(> 10\%)$ of the calibration methods on the ensemble
                      medians/means for the Mississippi, minor to moderate (up to
                      $10\%)$ influence for the Yellow and minor $(< 5\%)$
                      influence for the Rhine. In addition, the enhanced
                      calibration/validation method reduced the shares of
                      uncertainty related to HMs for three indicators in all
                      basins when the strict weighting method was used. It also
                      showed that the successful enhanced calibration had the
                      potential to reduce the uncertainty of hydrological
                      projections, especially when the HM uncertainty was
                      significant after the simple calibration.},
      cin          = {IBG-3},
      ddc          = {550},
      cid          = {I:(DE-Juel1)IBG-3-20101118},
      pnm          = {255 - Terrestrial Systems: From Observation to Prediction
                      (POF3-255)},
      pid          = {G:(DE-HGF)POF3-255},
      typ          = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
      UT           = {WOS:000572592300001},
      doi          = {10.1007/s10584-020-02872-6},
      url          = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/887682},
}