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@ARTICLE{Herrmann:889130,
      author       = {Herrmann, Frank and Keuler, Klaus and Wolters, Tim and
                      Bergmann, Sabine and Eisele, Michael and Wendland, Frank},
      title        = {{M}it der {M}odellkette {RCP}-{GCM}-{RCM}-m{GROWA}
                      projizierte {G}rundwasserneubildung als {D}atenbasis für
                      zukünftiges {G}rundwassermanagement in
                      {N}ordrhein-{W}estfalen {G}roundwater recharge in {N}orth
                      {R}hine-{W}estphalia projected using the model chain
                      {RCP}-{GCM}-{RCM}-m{GROWA}},
      journal      = {Grundwasser},
      volume       = {26},
      issn         = {1432-1165},
      address      = {Heidelberg},
      publisher    = {Springer},
      reportid     = {FZJ-2021-00055},
      pages        = {17–31},
      year         = {2021},
      abstract     = {In order to analyze the impact of climate change on
                      groundwater resources in North Rhine-Westphalia a
                      multi-model ensemble for projecting future groundwater
                      recharge was established. The ensemble consists of 36
                      members of the model chain RCP-GCM-RCM-mGROWA in total, i.e.
                      combinations of 3 greenhouse gas concentration trajectories,
                      6 global and 5 regional climate models, and the water
                      balance model mGROWA. The ensemble projections show only a
                      few significant changes of groundwater recharge in the
                      future periods 2011–2040, 2041–2070, and 2071–2100. A
                      robustness test using the two-criteria model agreement and
                      the significance of the individual model projections did not
                      reveal systematic and significant changes of groundwater
                      recharge until 2100. From the statistical point of view,
                      groundwater recharge can be expected to remain at the
                      current level. Hydrometeorological, North Rhine-Westphalia
                      is located in a transition zone in which the impact of the
                      rising winter precipitation on groundwater recharge is
                      counter-balanced by the impact of warming.},
      cin          = {IBG-3},
      ddc          = {550},
      cid          = {I:(DE-Juel1)IBG-3-20101118},
      pnm          = {2173 - Agro-biogeosystems: controls, feedbacks and impact
                      (POF4-217)},
      pid          = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-2173},
      typ          = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
      UT           = {WOS:000605146100001},
      doi          = {10.1007/s00767-020-00471-x},
      url          = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/889130},
}