TY  - JOUR
AU  - Sharma, Sapna
AU  - Blagrave, Kevin
AU  - Filazzola, Alessandro
AU  - Imrit, M. Arshad
AU  - Hendricks Franssen, Harrie-Jan
TI  - Forecasting the Permanent Loss of Lake Ice in the Northern Hemisphere Within the 21st Century
JO  - Geophysical research letters
VL  - 48
IS  - 1
SN  - 1944-8007
CY  - Hoboken, NJ
PB  - Wiley
M1  - FZJ-2021-00689
SP  - 1-9
PY  - 2021
AB  - Lake ice cover is essential to conserving the global freshwater supply for the 50 million lakesthat freeze each winter. Here, we ask when lakes across the Northern Hemisphere may permanently loseice cover. A K-means cluster analysis from 31 lakes identified four clusters of lakes vulnerable to losing icecover, including shallow and deep lakes in regions where winter air temperatures hover ∼0 °C and largerand deeper lakes in colder regions. By the end of this century, we estimate that up to 5,679 lakes of 1.35million HydroLAKES may permanently lose ice cover if greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) continue tobe emitted at current levels. In the Northern Hemisphere, lakes in southern and coastal regions, some ofwhich are among the largest lakes in the world and in close proximity to large human populations, are themost vulnerable to permanently losing ice.
LB  - PUB:(DE-HGF)16
UR  - <Go to ISI:>//WOS:000612943500048
DO  - DOI:10.1029/2020GL091108
UR  - https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/890100
ER  -