TY - JOUR AU - Schultz, Martin AU - Betancourt, Clara AU - Gong, Bing AU - Kleinert, Felix AU - Langguth, Michael AU - Leufen, Lukas Hubert AU - Mozaffari, Amirpasha AU - Stadtler, Scarlet TI - Can deep learning beat numerical weather prediction? JO - Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London / A VL - 379 IS - 2194 SN - 0080-4614 CY - London PB - Royal Society M1 - FZJ-2021-01034 SP - 20200097 PY - 2021 AB - The recent hype about artificial intelligence has sparked renewed interest in applying the successful deep learning (DL) methods for image recognition, speech recognition, robotics, strategic games and other application areas to the field of meteorology. There is some evidence that better weather forecasts can be produced by introducing big data mining and neural networks into the weather prediction workflow. Here, we discuss the question of whether it is possible to completely replace the current numerical weather models and data assimilation systems with DL approaches. This discussion entails a review of state-of-the-art machine learning concepts and their applicability to weather data with its pertinent statistical properties. We think that it is not inconceivable that numerical weather models may one day become obsolete, but a number of fundamental breakthroughs are needed before this goal comes into reach. LB - PUB:(DE-HGF)16 C6 - 33583266 UR - <Go to ISI:>//WOS:000649132600009 DO - DOI:10.1098/rsta.2020.0097 UR - https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/890552 ER -