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@ARTICLE{ENGN:891596,
author = {ENGİN, Güleda and ADİLLER, Ahmet and KLUG, Philipp and
ÇELEN, Meltem and HERRMANN, Frank and BACH, Heike and
WENDLAND, Frank},
title = {{C}limate change impact assessment under data scarcity by
hydrological and hydrodynamic modeling in {I}zmit
{B}ay/{T}urkey},
journal = {Environmental Research and Technology},
volume = {4},
number = {1},
issn = {2636-8498},
address = {Istanbul},
reportid = {FZJ-2021-01607},
pages = {1-17},
year = {2021},
abstract = {To assess climate change impact on the hydrology of Izmit
Bay, a coupled model chain using the results of four
combinations of Global Climate Models (GCMs) and Regional
Climate Models (RCMs) and consisting two hydrological models
(mGROWA and PROMET) and one hydrodynamic model (MIKE 3HD)
was established. Climate model data of the 4 GCM-RCM
combinations were applied to both hydrological models. The
resulting 8 streamflow data of the hydrological models were
then applied to the MIKE 3HD to assess possible hydrodynamic
situations in Izmit Bay. Related model results indicate a
range of possible future streamflow regimes suitable for the
analysis of climate change impact on Izmit Bay. In order to
evaluate the effects of the hydrological changes only on the
bay, the bay was considered as closed in terms of
hydrodynamics. There is a clear indication that the climate
change induced impacts on streamflow may influence the sea
level in the Bay to a minor extent. However, climate change
induced water exchange processes in the Bay may have a much
bigger influence. Hence, it is suggested that further
simulations should be run once the hydrologic regime of the
Marmara Sea has been assessed in a broader macro-scale
study.},
cin = {IBG-3},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IBG-3-20101118},
pnm = {217 - Für eine nachhaltige Bio-Ökonomie – von
Ressourcen zu Produkten (POF4-217) / 2173 -
Agro-biogeosystems: controls, feedbacks and impact
(POF4-217)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-217 / G:(DE-HGF)POF4-2173},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
doi = {10.35208/ert.777323},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/891596},
}