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@ARTICLE{Ball:893245,
author = {Ball, Christopher Stephen and Vögele, Stefan and
Grajewski, Matthias and Kuckshinrichs, Wilhelm},
title = {{E}-mobility from a multi-actor point of view:
{U}ncertainties and their impacts},
journal = {Technological forecasting and social change},
volume = {170},
issn = {0040-1625},
address = {Amsterdam [u.a.]},
publisher = {Elsevier Science},
reportid = {FZJ-2021-02645},
pages = {120925 -},
year = {2021},
abstract = {Germany has introduced measures favorable to the deployment
of electric cars, but, so far, their diffusion has been
slow. To assess the decarbonization of the transport sector,
a wider range of factors and stakeholder priorities must be
considered. A multi-criteria approach shows that car users
and vehicle manufacturers are likely to resist e-mobility.
However, a decision model based on the multi-criteria
approach heavily depends on the characteristics of the car
categories and on the weights determining stakeholders’
motivations. In practice, neither the exact characteristics
nor the exact weights are known exactly. By systematically
varying the characteristics and weights, we take these
uncertainties into account and test the robustness of the
results. Moreover, we identify factors linked to policy
measures promoting a particular car technology. Whilst we
find that incentivizing the adoption of hybrids is possible,
shifting the attitude of car users towards electric vehicles
is difficult, since electric vehicles have disadvantages for
this stakeholder. Electric utilities support electric
vehicles, as they are consistent with their business model
whilst government supports them only once ecological and
economic concerns gain equal importance. This indicates that
new approaches involving penalizing conventional cars may be
necessary to the dissemination of electric cars.},
cin = {IEK-STE},
ddc = {600},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-STE-20101013},
pnm = {1112 - Societally Feasible Transformation Pathways
(POF4-111) / 1111 - Effective System Transformation Pathways
(POF4-111)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-1112 / G:(DE-HGF)POF4-1111},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
UT = {WOS:000672564400003},
doi = {10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120925},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/893245},
}