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@ARTICLE{Morgenthaler:894611,
author = {Morgenthaler, Simon and Dünzen, Justus and Stadler, Ingo
and Witthaut, Dirk},
title = {{T}hree stages in the co-transformation of the energy and
mobility sectors},
journal = {Renewable $\&$ sustainable energy reviews},
volume = {150},
issn = {1364-0321},
address = {Amsterdam [u.a.]},
publisher = {Elsevier Science},
reportid = {FZJ-2021-03308},
pages = {111494},
year = {2021},
abstract = {Renewable electricity sources such as wind and solar power
have shown a remarkable development in terms of efficiency,
costs and availability, but system integration still remains
a challenge. Realizing a fully renewable electricity supply
will require large scale storage technologies and flexible
users to overcome long periods of low power generation. At
the same time, other sectors such as mobility and industry
must be electrified to replace fossil fuels.
Power-to-methane is a promising technology as it enables
large-scale energy storage and sector coupling using
existing infrastructures. In this work, we analyze the
co-transformation of the German electricity, mobility and
industry sectors, taking into account the recent decision to
phase out coal by 2038. We evaluate the necessary capacities
of renewables and sizes for storage options, as well as
system costs and associated emissions using a
techno-economic optimization model with a high technological
and temporal resolution in the open-source framework
OSeMOSYS. We find three rather different stages of the
transformation driven by the decreasing emissions cap and
the coal phase-out. Solar power is expanded vastly up to
2030, whilst coal is replaced mainly by fossil natural gas
by 2040. Emissions caps become very challenging after 2040
to the extent that all flexibility options are greatly
expanded: storage, curtailment and flexible
power-to-methane.},
cin = {IEK-STE},
ddc = {620},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-STE-20101013},
pnm = {1112 - Societally Feasible Transformation Pathways
(POF4-111)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-1112},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
UT = {WOS:000701290700003},
doi = {10.1016/j.rser.2021.111494},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/894611},
}