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@PHDTHESIS{Robrecht:894915,
author = {Robrecht, Sabine},
title = {{P}otential depletion of ozone in the mid-latitude
lowermost stratosphere in summer under geoengineering
conditions},
volume = {545},
school = {Universität Wuppertal},
type = {Dissertation},
address = {Jülich},
publisher = {Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH Zentralbibliothek, Verlag},
reportid = {FZJ-2021-03477},
isbn = {978-3-95806-563-5},
series = {Schriften des Forschungszentrums Jülich. Reihe Energie
$\&$ Umwelt / Energy $\&$ Environment},
pages = {185 S.},
year = {2021},
note = {Universität Wuppertal, Diss., 2020},
abstract = {The world's climate is changing, largely because of
anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG).
Increasing atmospheric GHG concentrations result in global
warming, which changes habitats all around the globe. For
limiting the risks of global warming, a supporting option
could be the application of sulfate geoengineering. The
concept of sulfate geoengineering is to inject sulfate
aerosols into the stratosphere extenuating the sunlight,
which reaches and thus warms the surface of the Earth. In
this way, the surface temperature could possibly be kept at
today's level avoiding negative consequences of GHG induced
global warming. However, sulfate geoengineering is not free
of risks and these potential risks have to be explored
before the application of geoengineering can be considered.
This thesis is aimed at assessing the risk of ozone loss
known from polar winter to occur in the mid-latitude
lowermost stratosphere in summer as a potential side effect
of sulfate geoengineering. These ozone loss processes were
further proposed to potentially occur in the mid-latitudes
for today's conditions in combination with convective
overshooting events transporting water vapour into the dry
stratosphere. If these ozone loss processes occur, the
UV-exposure in the densely populated mid-latitude northern
hemisphere would increase in summer. In this thesis, the
chemical ozone loss mechanism in the mid-latitudes and its
sensitivity to a variety of conditions is extensively
analysed by conducting box-model simulations with the
Chemical Lagrangian Model of the Stratosphere (CLaMS). This
analysis shows that a threshold in water vapour has to be
exceeded for stratospheric ozone loss to occur. This water
vapour threshold is mainly determined by the temperature and
sulfate content of the air mass. The extent of ozone loss
depends on available chlorine and bromine concentrations and
the duration of the time period over which chlorine
activation can be maintained. However, a simulation for
conditions over North America, which are realistic but
selected to be mostsuitable for this ozone loss process, did
not show signicant chlorine activation. Moreover, the
likelihood for this ozone loss process to occur today or in
future scenarios is determined considering both climate
change and an additional application of sulfate
geoengineering. Therefore, atmospheric conditions causing
chlorine activation are determined based on CLaMS box-model
simulations and compared with conditions found in the
lowermost stratosphere inresults of climate simulations
using the Geoengineering Large Ensemble Simulations (GLENS).
Extensive sensitivity studies in this thesis show a 2-3
times higher likelihood for chlorine activation in the
future scenario with sulfate geoengineering than for today.
However, even if geoengineering were applied, the likelihood
for chlorine activation to occur above North America remains
low (max. $\thicksim$3.3\%), destroying less than 0.4\% of
ozone in the lowermost stratosphere. An upper limit for
total ozone column reduction of 0.11 DU (less than 0.1\% of
column ozone) is deduced in this thesis. Overall, this
thesis demonstrates a negligible risk for chlorine catalysed
ozone loss to occur in the lowermost stratosphere over North
America in summer for conditions today and in future, even
if sulfate geoengineering were applied. This is an important
contribution to assessing the risks of a potential
application of sulfate geoengineering in future.},
cin = {IEK-7},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-7-20101013},
pnm = {899 - ohne Topic (POF4-899)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-899},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)3 / PUB:(DE-HGF)11},
urn = {urn:nbn:de:0001-2021093005},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/894915},
}