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@ARTICLE{DeLang:904565,
author = {DeLang, Marissa N. and Becker, Jacob S. and Chang, Kai-Lan
and Serre, Marc L. and Cooper, Owen R. and Schultz, Martin
and Schröder, Sabine and Lu, Xiao and Zhang, Lin and
Deushi, Makoto and Josse, Beatrice and Keller, Christoph A.
and Lamarque, Jean-François and Lin, Meiyun and Liu, Junhua
and Marécal, Virginie and Strode, Sarah A. and Sudo, Kengo
and Tilmes, Simone and Zhang, Li and Cleland, Stephanie E.
and Collins, Elyssa L. and Brauer, Michael and West, J.
Jason},
title = {{M}apping {Y}early {F}ine {R}esolution {G}lobal {S}urface
{O}zone through the {B}ayesian {M}aximum {E}ntropy {D}ata
{F}usion of {O}bservations and {M}odel {O}utput for
1990–2017},
journal = {Environmental science $\&$ technology},
volume = {55},
number = {8},
issn = {0013-936X},
address = {Columbus, Ohio},
publisher = {American Chemical Society},
reportid = {FZJ-2021-06135},
pages = {4389 - 4398},
year = {2021},
abstract = {Estimates of ground-level ozone concentrations are
necessary to determine the human health burden of ozone. To
support the Global Burden of Disease Study, we produce
yearly fine resolution global surface ozone estimates from
1990 to 2017 through a data fusion of observations and
models. As ozone observations are sparse in many populated
regions, we use a novel combination of the M3Fusion and
Bayesian Maximum Entropy (BME) methods. With M3Fusion, we
create a multimodel composite by bias-correcting and
weighting nine global atmospheric chemistry models based on
their ability to predict observations (8834 sites globally)
in each region and year. BME is then used to integrate
observations, such that estimates match observations at each
monitoring site with the observational influence decreasing
smoothly across space and time until the output matches the
multimodel composite. After estimating at 0.5° resolution
using BME, we add fine spatial detail from an additional
model, yielding estimates at 0.1° resolution. Observed
ozone is predicted more accurately (R2 = 0.81 at the test
point, 0.63 at 0.1°, and 0.62 at 0.5°) than the multimodel
mean (R2 = 0.28 at 0.5°). Global ozone exposure is
estimated to be increasing, driven by highly populated
regions of Asia and Africa, despite decreases in the United
States and Russia.},
cin = {JSC},
ddc = {333.7},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)JSC-20090406},
pnm = {5111 - Domain-Specific Simulation $\&$ Data Life Cycle Labs
(SDLs) and Research Groups (POF4-511) / Earth System Data
Exploration (ESDE)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-5111 / G:(DE-Juel-1)ESDE},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
pubmed = {pmid:33682412},
UT = {WOS:000643546400020},
doi = {10.1021/acs.est.0c07742},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/904565},
}