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@INPROCEEDINGS{Ji:905743,
author = {Ji, Yan and Gong, Bing and Langguth, Michael and Mozaffari,
Amirpasha and Mache, Karim and Schultz, Martin},
title = {{D}eep {L}earning for weather forecasts},
reportid = {FZJ-2022-00967},
year = {2021},
abstract = {Accurate weather predictions are highly demanded by
society. This study explores the adaptation of
state-of-the-art deep learning architectures for video frame
prediction in the context of weather applications.
Proof-of-concept case studies are performed to 2m
temperature forecasts up to 12 hours over central Europe,
and precipitation nowcasting up to 2 hours over south China.
The pixel-wise loss-based convolutional Long Short Term
Memory architectures (ConvLSTM) and GAN’s variant
architecture, stochastic adversarial video prediction
(SAVP), are used and compared with standard persistent
forecasts for 2m temperature, and traditional optical flow
method for precipitation, respectively. Mean square error
(MSE), anomaly correlation coefficient (ACC), and Structural
Similarity Index (SSIM) are utilized to evaluate the 2m
temperature forecast. The method of object-based diagnostic
evaluation (MODE) was particularly adopted for precipitation
nowcasting to evaluate the attributions of rain events in
terms of centroid, intensity, and shape. Finally, the
sensitivity was performed to test the models' robustness to
input variables, target regions, and the number of training
samples.},
month = {Oct},
date = {2021-10-11},
organization = {Second Symposium on Artificial
Intelligence for Science, Industry and
Society, online (Mexico), 11 Oct 2021 -
15 Oct 2021},
subtyp = {After Call},
cin = {JSC},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)JSC-20090406},
pnm = {5111 - Domain-Specific Simulation $\&$ Data Life Cycle Labs
(SDLs) and Research Groups (POF4-511) / Verbundprojekt
DeepRain: Effiziente Lokale Niederschlagsvorhersage durch
Maschinelles Lernen (01IS18047A) / IntelliAQ - Artificial
Intelligence for Air Quality (787576) / MAELSTROM - MAchinE
Learning for Scalable meTeoROlogy and cliMate (955513) /
Earth System Data Exploration (ESDE)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-5111 / G:(BMBF)01IS18047A /
G:(EU-Grant)787576 / G:(EU-Grant)955513 / G:(DE-Juel-1)ESDE},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)6},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/905743},
}