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@ARTICLE{Shen:908625,
author = {Shen, Fuzhen and Hegglin, Michaela Imelda and Luo, Yuanfei
and Yuan, Yue and Wang, Bing and Flemming, Johannes and
Wang, Junfeng and Zhang, Yunjiang and Chen, Mindong and
Yang, Qiang and Ge, Xinlei},
title = {{D}isentangling drivers of air pollutant and health risk
changes during the {COVID}-19 lockdown in {C}hina},
journal = {npj climate and atmospheric science},
volume = {5},
number = {1},
issn = {2397-3722},
address = {London},
publisher = {Springer Nature},
reportid = {FZJ-2022-02725},
pages = {54},
year = {2022},
abstract = {The COVID-19 restrictions in 2020 have led to distinct
variations in NO2 and O3 concentrations in China. Here, the
different drivers of anthropogenic emission changes,
including the effects of the Chinese New Year (CNY),
China’s 2018–2020 Clean Air Plan (CAP), andthe COVID-19
lockdown and their impact on NO2 and O3 are isolated by
using a combined model-measurement approach. In addition,
the contribution of prevailing meteorological conditions to
the concentration changes was evaluated by applying a
machine-learning method. The resulting impact on the
multi-pollutant Health-based Air Quality Index (HAQI) is
quantified. The results show that the CNY reduces NO2
concentrations on average by $26.7\%$ each year, while the
COVID-lockdown measures have led to an additional $11.6\%$
reduction in 2020, and the CAP over 2018–2020 to a
reduction in NO2 by $15.7\%.$ On the other hand,
meteorological conditions from 23 January to March 7, 2020
led to increase in NO2 of $7.8\%.$ Neglecting the CAP and
meteorological drivers thus leads to an overestimate and
underestimate of the effect of the COVID-lockdown on NO2
reductions, respectively. For O3 the opposite behavior is
found, with changes of $+23.3\%,$ $+21.0\%,$ $+4.9\%,$ and
$−0.9\%$ for CNY, COVID-lockdown, CAP, and meteorology
effects, respectively. The total effects of these drivers
show a drastic reduction in multi-air pollutant-related
health riskacross China, with meteorology affecting
particularly the Northeast of China adversely. Importantly,
the CAP’s contribution highlights the effectiveness of the
Chinese government’s air-quality regulations on NO2
reduction.},
cin = {IEK-7},
ddc = {530},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-7-20101013},
pnm = {2112 - Climate Feedbacks (POF4-211)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-2112},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
pubmed = {35789740},
UT = {WOS:000819420000001},
doi = {10.1038/s41612-022-00276-0},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/908625},
}