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@INPROCEEDINGS{Kraus:908729,
author = {Kraus, Stefan and Reul, Julian and Grube, Thomas and
Linssen, Jochen and Stolten, Detlef},
title = {{P}aths towards greenhouse gas neutrality of transport
sector},
reportid = {FZJ-2022-02792},
year = {2022},
abstract = {Pathways towards greenhouse gas neutrality in the transport
sectorPfade zur Treibhausgasneutralität des
VerkehrssektorsStefan Kraus,a,b Julian Reul,a,b Thomas
Grube,a Jochen Linßena and Detlef Stoltena,ba Institute for
Techno-Economic Systems Analysis (IEK-3), Forschungszentrum
Jülich GmbH, D-52425 Jülichb Chair for Fuel Cells, RWTH
Aachen University, c/o Institute of Electrochemical Process
Engineering, Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH D-52425
JülichAbstractAs a part of the energy system, the transport
sector must achieve the national target of greenhouse gas
neutrality by 2045. In the passenger car sector, the market
ramp-up of electromobility is already in full swing.
However, questions arise as to how the transport sector as a
whole will be able to achieve the goal of greenhouse gas
neutrality. Which drivetrains and fuels should be used in
which means of transport, for instance? And where do these
fuels originate from considering limited renewable energy
resources, which could also serve to reduce greenhouse gases
in other sectors? To answer these questions and go beyond
results from simulation modeling that have been presented in
the literature thus far, we present here cost optimal
scenarios based on a newly-developed, Python based
optimization model.Apart from robust findings pertaining to
the comprehensive electrification of road transport, our
results show that synthetic fuels are part of the
cost-optimal solution during a transitional phase. This is
due to the temporally-constrained transformation of road
transport fleets in favor of fully electric vehicles, e.g.
resulting from vehicle lifetime. Complementing the
powertrain shift in vehicle stock, the resulting fuel demand
shift will greatly affect the energy sector, in an example
of so-called sector coupling. On the one hand, vehicle
charging and hydrogen refueling networks must be expanded.
On the other, alternative energy carriers are a mix of
domestic production and imports. In this context, our
results indicate that electricity generation is almost
exclusively domestic, whereas synthetic fuels are fully
imported. Hydrogen is both produced domestically and
imported from other countries. Overall, the scenario results
underscore the need for near-term action to achieve the goal
of greenhouse gas neutrality in the transport sector by
2045.},
month = {Oct},
date = {2022-10-10},
organization = {31st Aachen Colloquium, Aachen
(Germany), 10 Oct 2022 - 12 Oct 2022},
cin = {IEK-3},
cid = {I:(DE-Juel1)IEK-3-20101013},
pnm = {1111 - Effective System Transformation Pathways (POF4-111)
/ 1112 - Societally Feasible Transformation Pathways
(POF4-111)},
pid = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-1111 / G:(DE-HGF)POF4-1112},
typ = {PUB:(DE-HGF)1},
url = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/908729},
}