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@ARTICLE{Bracher:911502,
      author       = {Bracher, Johannes and Wolffram, Daniel and Deuschel, Jannik
                      and Görgen, Konstantin and Ketterer, Jakob L. and Ullrich,
                      Alexander and Abbott, Sam and Barbarossa, Maria V. and
                      Bertsimas, Dimitris and Bhatia, Sangeeta and Bodych, Marcin
                      and Bosse, Nikos I. and Burgard, Jan Pablo and Castro,
                      Lauren and Fairchild, Geoffrey and Fiedler, Jochen and
                      Fuhrmann, Jan and Funk, Sebastian and Gambin, Anna and
                      Gogolewski, Krzysztof and Heyder, Stefan and Hotz, Thomas
                      and Kheifetz, Yuri and Kirsten, Holger and Krueger, Tyll and
                      Krymova, Ekaterina and Leithäuser, Neele and Li, Michael L.
                      and Meinke, Jan H. and Miasojedow, Błażej and Michaud,
                      Isaac J. and Mohring, Jan and Nouvellet, Pierre and
                      Nowosielski, Jedrzej M. and Ozanski, Tomasz and Radwan,
                      Maciej and Rakowski, Franciszek and Scholz, Markus and Soni,
                      Saksham and Srivastava, Ajitesh and Gneiting, Tilmann and
                      Schienle, Melanie},
      title        = {{N}ational and subnational short-term forecasting of
                      {COVID}-19 in {G}ermany and {P}oland during early 2021},
      journal      = {Communications medicine},
      volume       = {2},
      number       = {1},
      issn         = {2730-664X},
      address      = {[London]},
      publisher    = {Springer Nature},
      reportid     = {FZJ-2022-04764},
      pages        = {136},
      year         = {2022},
      abstract     = {We compare forecasts of weekly case and death numbers for
                      COVID-19 in Germany and Poland based on 15 different
                      modelling approaches. These cover the period from January to
                      April 2021 and address numbers of cases and deaths one and
                      two weeks into the future, along with the respective
                      uncertainties. We find that combining different forecasts
                      into one forecast can enable better predictions. However,
                      case numbers over longer periods were challenging to
                      predict. Additional data sources, such as information about
                      different versions of the SARS-CoV-2 virus present in the
                      population, might improve forecasts in the future.},
      cin          = {JSC},
      cid          = {I:(DE-Juel1)JSC-20090406},
      pnm          = {5111 - Domain-Specific Simulation $\&$ Data Life Cycle Labs
                      (SDLs) and Research Groups (POF4-511)},
      pid          = {G:(DE-HGF)POF4-5111},
      typ          = {PUB:(DE-HGF)16},
      pubmed       = {36352249},
      UT           = {WOS:001088306700001},
      doi          = {10.1038/s43856-022-00191-8},
      url          = {https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/911502},
}